Issued at 400 AM CDT WED OCT 26 2011 000WTNT33 KNHC 260843TCPAT3 BULLETINHURRICANE RINA ADVISORY NUMBER 12NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182011400 AM CDT WED OCT 26 2011 ...RINA MAINTAINING STRONG CATEGORY 2 INTENSITY... SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION----------------------------------------------LOCATION...17.5N 85.2WABOUT 235 MI...380 KM SSE OF COZUMEL MEXICOABOUT 215 MI...345 KM ESE OF CHETUMAL MEXICOMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/HPRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/HMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...967 MB...28.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS--------------------CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...* THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA GRUESATO CANCUN A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...* THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL TO PUNTAGRUESA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...* THE COAST OF BELIZE FROM BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD* THE HONDURAN BAY ISLANDS OF ROATAN AND GUANAJA PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TOCOMPLETION IN THE WARNING AREA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITORPRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK------------------------------AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RINA WAS LOCATEDBY AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT NEAR LATITUDE 17.5NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.2 WEST. RINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 5MPH...7 KM/H. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST WITH A SLIGHTINCREASE IN FORWARD IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURNTOWARD THE NORTH BY LATE THURSDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THECENTER OF RINA WILL BE MOVING NEAR OR OVER THE EAST COAST OF THEYUCATAN PENINSULA WITHIN THE WARNING AREA ON THURSDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 110 MPH...175 KM/H...WITH HIGHERGUSTS. RINA IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSONHURRICANE WIND SCALE...AND HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A MAJORHURRICANE TODAY OR TONIGHT. SOME WEAKENING IS LIKELY AFTER RINAMOVES NEAR OR OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROMTHE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115MILES...185 KM. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM THE HURRICANE HUNTEROBSERVATIONS IS 967 MB...28.56 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND----------------------WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST INTHE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA LATER TODAY...MAKING OUTSIDEPREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. HURRICANE CONDITIONS AREEXPECTED TO BEGIN WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA BY EARLYTHURSDAY. RAINFALL...RINA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 16INCHES OVER THE EASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA AND COZUMEL THROUGHFRIDAY. STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BYAS MUCH AS 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THEIMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF THE TRACK OF THE CENTER.NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE ANDDESTRUCTIVE WAVES. NEXT ADVISORY-------------NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 AM CDT.NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT. $$FORECASTER PASCH
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