I am a firm believer that Fastpass Plus increased wait times around Walt Disney World. What do you guys think? I'm sure someone on this forum has more insight than me and I'd love to hear from them on this issue.
Where's the option for: "Everyone keeps forgetting that the introduction of Fastpass+ coincided with a nearly 8% increase in park attendance which is a far bigger factor in wait times?"
Well obviously but I’m wondering if people perceive fastpass plus as a reason that the standby lines have increased if not whether or not they actually are the reasonI think it's a no brainer that the standby lines are much longer. But if someone uses FP+ judiciously, they (I) can ride a bunch of stuff with minimal waits.
Let's see... If that's the reason, then wait times for PotC should have increased from 5 minutes to 5.4 minutes.Where's the option for: "Everyone keeps forgetting that the introduction of Fastpass+ coincided with a nearly 8% increase in park attendance which is a far bigger factor in wait times?"
You think that the relationship between wait times and park attendance is linear?Let's see... If that's the reason, then wait times for PotC should have increased from 5 minutes to 5.4 minutes.
If it isn't, what's the point in bringing it up?You think that the relationship between wait times and park attendance is linear?
If it isn't, what's the point in bringing it up?
I am a firm believer that Fastpass Plus increased wait times around Walt Disney World. What do you guys think? I'm sure someone on this forum has more insight than me and I'd love to hear from them on this issue.
Sure. But to cite an "8% increase in visitors" is meaningless unless you can show the relationship to the massive increases in wait times at rides like PotC.Do you understand the difference between linear and non-linear relationships?
Good. Then you know that to assume that an 8% increase in park attendance to correlate to an 8% increase in waiting time is silly. Off the top of your head you asserted that in 2014 there was a 5 minute wait for Pirates of the Caribbean, so assuming you're correct this attraction was already being patronized beyond its hourly capacity, (since there was a queue at all). Pirates handles about 3,500 guests an hour already, and in your model we're already at capacity so adding at least an additional 4,000 potential riders into the park isn't going to increase the wait time as a linear function of guest attendance- it's going to begin increasing as a function of how many prospective and willing riders are in the park that exceed the ride's capacity, which according to your recollection, they were already exceeding. That's why expecting an 8% increase in park attendance produced a much higher increase in wait times than 108% of the original queues.Sure.
If you've actually been on the ride, you'll know that 5 minute wait equates to a casual stroll through the queue. And an 8% increase in attendance, given the number of other attractions and rides available to absorb those 5,000 guests, shouldn't increase wait times at a particular attraction by 900%... unless there's some other factor (like FP+) driving people to it.Good. Then you know that to assume that an 8% increase in park attendance to correlate to an 8% increase in waiting time is silly. Off the top of your head you asserted that in 2014 there was a 5 minute wait for Pirates of the Caribbean, so assuming you're correct this attraction was already being patronized beyond its hourly capacity, (since there was a queue at all). Pirates handles about 3,500 guests an hour already, and in your model we're already at capacity so adding at least an additional 4,000 potential riders into the park isn't going to increase the wait time as a linear function of guest attendance- it's going to begin increasing as a function of how many prospective and willing riders are in the park that exceed the ride's capacity, which according to your recollection, they were already exceeding. That's why expecting an 8% increase in park attendance produced a much higher increase in wait times than 108% of the original queues.
For what it's worth, if we're talking specifically about the Magic Kingdom, attendance has increased more like 9% since the introduction of Fast Pass Plus, so we're really talking about more than five thousand extra guests in the park than would be there before 2014.
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