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Disney's Next Acquisition Speculation / Discussion

Disney Irish

Premium Member


I saw live video on Youtube as some guy talks about Disney buys WBD instead Paramount, Netflix, Apple or Amazon.

More wishful thinking, not gonna happen. Disney is not going to get into the mix of a bidding war between the tech titans.

Paramount Skydance is seen as the top contender and there is already reports of them putting out feelers to various groups to make it known they don't plan to split WB once acquired.

 
Disney is not entering this game. As large as Disney is--- this is wayyyy above Bob's pay grade. He cannot even buy a ticket to watch this fight, much less participate in it. Whether it's Apple's/Oracle's or Amazon's Money... all three of them could buy Disney outright and dismiss Iger in a heartbeat. Iger will simply cower in the corner and hope they don't look his way, lest they swallow Disney whole.

My bet is Ellison wins.... He is simply more experienced in company aquisition merger...and without going too much into politics; his connections will help with the regulators.
 

MisterPenguin

President of Animal Kingdom
Premium Member
FYI..

Company / EntityYearDeal Type / StructureDisney’s Stake / DescriptionValue / Outcome
FuboTV2025Acquisition/MergerDisney acquired 70% and merged it with Hulu Live TVNot disclosed
Miral (Disneyland Abu Dhabi, UAE)2025LicensingRoyalty/licensing, creative control, joint development, not ownershipOngoing royalties
Reliance/Viacom18/JioCinema (India)2024MergerCombined Star India, Disney+ Hotstar into Viacom18/JioCinema$8.5 billion
Epic Games (Fortnite)2024Minority InvestmentEstimated 9% stake, strategic partnership for Disney IP in Fortnite$1.5 billion
Hulu (Comcast buyout)2023Full AcquisitionFinal 33%, now 100% owned by Disney$8.6 billion
BAMTech (final tranche)2022Full AcquisitionFinal 15% to reach 100% ownership, streaming tech backbone$900 million
Shanghai Disneyland (China)2016, ongoingJoint Venture/LicensingDisney owns 43%, Chinese state 57%; Disney receives royalties and majority management control; creative oversight$5.5+ billion initial
Hong Kong Disneyland2005, ongoingJoint Venture/LicensingDisney owns 47%, Hong Kong gov’t 53%; Disney collects royalties and shares creative/ops control$3.5+ billion expansion
Tokyo Disneyland/DisneySea (Japan)1983, ongoingLicensing OnlyDisney has 0% ownership; Oriental Land Company owns/operates; Disney receives licensing and creative royaltiesOLC invests, Disney royalties
Major Chinese consumer licensing2023-2025Licensing/DistributionExtensive e-commerce and brand licensing partnerships (Miniso, Pop Mart, etc.)$61–62 billion in retail sales
Major UAE licensing (products/digital)2023–25Licensing/DistributionIntegrated licensing with regional retail, digital contentRevenue growth
Disneyland Paris (France)2017Full AcquisitionDisney bought out remaining shares; now 100% owned by Disney€2 billion buyout
National Geographic Partners2019Full Ownership via FoxGained full control as part of Fox acquisitionIncluded in Fox deal
21st Century Fox2019AcquisitionMajor studios, TV, IP; full creative control$71.3 billion
TrueX (via Fox)2019Acquisition as asset in Fox dealDigital ad-tech platformPart of Fox deal
Vice Media (legacy investment/liquidity)2019Exit of historical holdingPreviously held stake; exited in 2019, included for breadth of partnershipsValue not public
BAMTech (earlier phases)2017-2018Majority InvestmentInvestment to reach majority then full ownership of streaming tech company$2.6+ billion
Disney Cruise Line (Asia-Pacific)2025Licensing/Expansion PartnershipSingapore homeport, regional cruise branding and presenceNew homeport/expansion
Disney+ licensing (China/Asia)2023–25Digital Licensing/Platform PartnershipsPartnerships for local streaming, product, and regional digital expansionNot disclosed
Disney+ regional partnerships (UAE/South Asia)2025Licensing/Platform PartnershipCollaboration for streaming, distribution, and content deliverySubscriber/revenue growth
Disney/Shanghai Shendi Group (expansion)2023–25Follow-on JV/Licensing for expansionDisney and JV continuing with accelerated park and resort investments for greater reach and royaltiesAdditional billions
 

brodie999

Active Member
More wishful thinking, not gonna happen. Disney is not going to get into the mix of a bidding war between the tech titans.

Paramount Skydance is seen as the top contender and there is already reports of them putting out feelers to various groups to make it known they don't plan to split WB once acquired.

I'm not so sure about that. They said the exact same thing when Disney wasn't rumoured to buy Fox. But now here we are. I feel like Disney could enter the bidding war any day now.
 

MisterPenguin

President of Animal Kingdom
Premium Member
Also from Perplexity, because I was curious...

The top ten pay TV companies in the U.S. as of 2025, with Disney's acquisition of Fubo making it the sixth largest pay TV company, are:​
  1. Charter Communications (Spectrum) - approx. 12.1 million subscribers
  2. Comcast (Xfinity) - approx. 11.7 million subscribers
  3. TPG Inc. (DirecTV) - approx. 11 million subscribers
  4. Alphabet Inc. (YouTube TV) - approx. 9.4 million subscribers
  5. EchoStar (Dish Network) - approx. 5.3 million subscribers
  6. Disney (Hulu + Live TV combined with Fubo) - nearly 6 million subscribers combined (Disney has about 4.4 million Hulu + Live TV subscribers, and Fubo had about 1.47 million before the merger)
  7. Communications (Contour) - approx. 3.05 million subscribers
  8. Verizon (Fios) - approx. 2.62 million subscribers
  9. EchoStar (Sling TV) - approx. 1.78 million subscribers
  10. Altice USA (Optimum) - approx. 1.79 million subscribers
 

Disney Irish

Premium Member
I'm not so sure about that. They said the exact same thing when Disney wasn't rumoured to buy Fox. But now here we are. I feel like Disney could enter the bidding war any day now.
Of the potential suitors -

Netflix has a market cap of $466.3B as of today.
Apple has a market cap of $4.002T as of today.
The Ellison family who now runs Paramount Skydance is worth $350B, plus more through private equity firms (some rumors I've seen have them listed as having access to another $500B putting them close to $900B in total available capital).

Disney has a market cap of $198.2B as of today. All of those others could literally buy Disney today if they wanted.

Disney doesn't have the same available capital as others, so they aren't entering this bidding war. Sorry.
 

Haymarket

Well-Known Member
FYI..

Company / EntityYearDeal Type / StructureDisney’s Stake / DescriptionValue / Outcome
FuboTV2025Acquisition/MergerDisney acquired 70% and merged it with Hulu Live TVNot disclosed
Miral (Disneyland Abu Dhabi, UAE)2025LicensingRoyalty/licensing, creative control, joint development, not ownershipOngoing royalties
Reliance/Viacom18/JioCinema (India)2024MergerCombined Star India, Disney+ Hotstar into Viacom18/JioCinema$8.5 billion
Epic Games (Fortnite)2024Minority InvestmentEstimated 9% stake, strategic partnership for Disney IP in Fortnite$1.5 billion
Hulu (Comcast buyout)2023Full AcquisitionFinal 33%, now 100% owned by Disney$8.6 billion
BAMTech (final tranche)2022Full AcquisitionFinal 15% to reach 100% ownership, streaming tech backbone$900 million
Shanghai Disneyland (China)2016, ongoingJoint Venture/LicensingDisney owns 43%, Chinese state 57%; Disney receives royalties and majority management control; creative oversight$5.5+ billion initial
Hong Kong Disneyland2005, ongoingJoint Venture/LicensingDisney owns 47%, Hong Kong gov’t 53%; Disney collects royalties and shares creative/ops control$3.5+ billion expansion
Tokyo Disneyland/DisneySea (Japan)1983, ongoingLicensing OnlyDisney has 0% ownership; Oriental Land Company owns/operates; Disney receives licensing and creative royaltiesOLC invests, Disney royalties
Major Chinese consumer licensing2023-2025Licensing/DistributionExtensive e-commerce and brand licensing partnerships (Miniso, Pop Mart, etc.)$61–62 billion in retail sales
Major UAE licensing (products/digital)2023–25Licensing/DistributionIntegrated licensing with regional retail, digital contentRevenue growth
Disneyland Paris (France)2017Full AcquisitionDisney bought out remaining shares; now 100% owned by Disney€2 billion buyout
National Geographic Partners2019Full Ownership via FoxGained full control as part of Fox acquisitionIncluded in Fox deal
21st Century Fox2019AcquisitionMajor studios, TV, IP; full creative control$71.3 billion
TrueX (via Fox)2019Acquisition as asset in Fox dealDigital ad-tech platformPart of Fox deal
Vice Media (legacy investment/liquidity)2019Exit of historical holdingPreviously held stake; exited in 2019, included for breadth of partnershipsValue not public
BAMTech (earlier phases)2017-2018Majority InvestmentInvestment to reach majority then full ownership of streaming tech company$2.6+ billion
Disney Cruise Line (Asia-Pacific)2025Licensing/Expansion PartnershipSingapore homeport, regional cruise branding and presenceNew homeport/expansion
Disney+ licensing (China/Asia)2023–25Digital Licensing/Platform PartnershipsPartnerships for local streaming, product, and regional digital expansionNot disclosed
Disney+ regional partnerships (UAE/South Asia)2025Licensing/Platform PartnershipCollaboration for streaming, distribution, and content deliverySubscriber/revenue growth
Disney/Shanghai Shendi Group (expansion)2023–25Follow-on JV/Licensing for expansionDisney and JV continuing with accelerated park and resort investments for greater reach and royaltiesAdditional billions
Disney owns 73% of National Geographic Partners. The National Geographic Society owns the rest. It's a joint venture.
 

Disney Irish

Premium Member


I saw live video on Youtube as some guy talks about Disney buys WBD instead Paramount, Netflix, Apple or Amazon.

I finally watched this, and this guy actually does not think that Disney is buying WB either. His opinion is the same as others, Paramount Skydance buys WB.

His points is that Disney still haven't utilized 21st Century properly yet, and hasn't recovered from its purchase. And thinks its a bad idea for Marvel and DC being under the same owner.
 

coffeefan

Well-Known Member
Netflix is exploring a bid for WB.

Owning Warner Bros' studio business would give Netflix control over some of Hollywood's most successful stories and characters, including the Harry Potter and DC Comics franchises. Warner Bros' prolific television studio also produces many of Netflix's hits, including original series like "Running Point," "You" and "Maid." HBO and its companion streaming service would add more prestige dramas, and subscribers.

 

coffeefan

Well-Known Member
My only comment on this would be does Netflix decide to exit the theatrical space in such a merger. That would be a very quick acceleration to theatrical being phased out in the next 5 maybe 10 years.

Yeah, it would be bad for movie theaters, unless Netflix alters its model. Apple may be the least bad option IMO.
 

Disney Irish

Premium Member
Yeah, it would be bad for movie theaters, unless Netflix alters its model. Apple may be the least bad option IMO.
Paramount would be better fit as they would at least keep theatrical going for at least another few years.

Apple isn't into the theatrical model either, just like Netflix.
 

coffeefan

Well-Known Member
Paramount would be better fit as they would at least keep theatrical going for at least another few years.

Apple isn't into the theatrical model either, just like Netflix.

Apple has shown more support than Netflix, and a recent example is F1.


Paramount-Skydance would be the worst option. Aside from eliminating a major studio, the situation with CBS and current events is very telling.
 

Disney Irish

Premium Member
Apple has shown more support than Netflix, and a recent example is F1.


Paramount-Skydance would be the worst option. Aside from eliminating a major studio, the situation with CBS and current events is very telling.
That is limited examples, all of which except F1 failed, that is like Netflix doing the deal with IMAX to release a few like K-Pop into theaters. That isn't really supporting theatrical, that is just IMAX leaning in this case into to get some of that sweet sweet streaming money from Netflix, or in the case of Apple mostly for award plays. Theatrical goes against what both Netflix and Apple are doing with their platforms. Plus Apple and Netflix already have their own "studios" so combining either with WB would also still be eliminating a major studio.

Paramount is at least still all-in on theatrical for now. And its not like a combined Paramount/WB would be any different than Paramount combining with Skydance, or Dreamworks before it, or Viacom before that, etc.

Consolidation is going to happen, that is just the nature of things. But some are better for the industry than others. And Netflix or Apple are worse for the industry if you value theatrical.
 

Disney Irish

Premium Member
There are no good options. That's why I said Apple would be the least bad. But relative to Netflix, Apple has a better history at theatrical support.

However, I value independent press and artistic freedom more than I value theatrical support, hence Paramount-Skydance being a hard pass for me.
Eh, its not as bad as you think.

I've familiar with the Ellison's, for reasons I won't get into here. They aren't as anti-independent and right leaning as what you might think. I suspect that CBS will be just fine, hopefully going back to its roots like back when Cronkite was on the air. I won't say more, but things will be ok in my opinion.
 

Disney Irish

Premium Member
Anyone still holding out hope that Disney will make a last minute play for WB and buy it, well Disney commented today and said no.


"One thing that is not in the company’s plans for 2026 is any M&A (sorry David Zaslav!). On the call, Disney CFO Hugh Johnston dismissed the potential of the company pursuing a deal for Warner Bros. Discovery (or any other major deal for that matter).

“Obviously, we don’t comment on M&A specifically, that said, with what’s happening in the industry right now, Bob and the team really built the IP portfolio that we have over the last decade, whether it was the Fox acquisition or Lucasfilm or Pixar,” Johnston said. “So we actually feel like we’ve got a great portfolio, and we don’t need to do anything from that perspective. I think we’ll let this play out in terms of other competitors. We’ll see how the various moves play out, but we like the hand that we have right now, so I wouldn’t expect us to participate in making any significant moves.”


"Asked during a CBNC interview earlier about industry M&A including a pursuit of Warner Bros. Discovery, led by Paramount, he’d said, in a similar vein, “What they’re talking about doing, it’s really what we did 10 years ago, whether it was the Fox deal or the Pixar deal or the Lucasfilm deal. Bringing more in house is something that we did a good long time ago. As a result of that, we don’t really need to participate in these things.” "
 

DisneyFan32

Well-Known Member
In the Parks
Yes
Anyone still holding out hope that Disney will make a last minute play for WB and buy it, well Disney commented today and said no.


"One thing that is not in the company’s plans for 2026 is any M&A (sorry David Zaslav!). On the call, Disney CFO Hugh Johnston dismissed the potential of the company pursuing a deal for Warner Bros. Discovery (or any other major deal for that matter).

“Obviously, we don’t comment on M&A specifically, that said, with what’s happening in the industry right now, Bob and the team really built the IP portfolio that we have over the last decade, whether it was the Fox acquisition or Lucasfilm or Pixar,” Johnston said. “So we actually feel like we’ve got a great portfolio, and we don’t need to do anything from that perspective. I think we’ll let this play out in terms of other competitors. We’ll see how the various moves play out, but we like the hand that we have right now, so I wouldn’t expect us to participate in making any significant moves.”


"Asked during a CBNC interview earlier about industry M&A including a pursuit of Warner Bros. Discovery, led by Paramount, he’d said, in a similar vein, “What they’re talking about doing, it’s really what we did 10 years ago, whether it was the Fox deal or the Pixar deal or the Lucasfilm deal. Bringing more in house is something that we did a good long time ago. As a result of that, we don’t really need to participate in these things.” "
Well yikes..um..most likely it's between Paramount or Comcast to buy WB.
 

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