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Disney's Next Acquisition Speculation / Discussion

Disney Irish

Premium Member
Semantics. Those two things are not necessarily exclusive. Regardless, Netflix is in exclusive negotiations now. I'm pretty confident they will succeed.
Exclusive negotiations doesn't mean much, and it certainly doesn't mean its a done deal. All it means is that WBD is giving Netflix an opportunity for a set period of time to come up with final terms without other potential bidders. The deal can still fall apart, both can still walk away. If for example the exclusive period is 7 days, if that time expires and there is no deal reached WBD can start entertaining other offers again.
 

coffeefan

Well-Known Member
Exclusive negotiations doesn't mean much, and it certainly doesn't mean its a done deal. All it means is that WBD is giving Netflix an opportunity for a set period of time to come up with final terms without other potential bidders. The deal can still fall apart, both can still walk away. If for example the exclusive period is 7 days, if that time expires and there is no deal reached WBD can start entertaining other offers again.

Sure, but WB wants to make a sale by Christmas. So any time locked in exclusive negotiations is pretty significant. I think it's more likely than not that they reach a deal. We shall see!
 
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Stripes

Premium Member
Exclusive negotiations doesn't mean much, and it certainly doesn't mean its a done deal. All it means is that WBD is giving Netflix an opportunity for a set period of time to come up with final terms without other potential bidders. The deal can still fall apart, both can still walk away. If for example the exclusive period is 7 days, if that time expires and there is no deal reached WBD can start entertaining other offers again.
It’s a done deal.

Netflix to Buy Warner Bros. and HBO Max in $82.7 Billion Deal​


Wouldn’t surprise me if DOJ sued to block, but Netflix will win eventually.
 

Disney Irish

Premium Member
Sure, but WB wants to make a sale by Christmas. So any time locked in exclusive negotiations is pretty significant. I think it's more likely than not that they reach a deal. We shall see!

It’s a done deal.

Netflix to Buy Warner Bros. and HBO Max in $82.7 Billion Deal​


Wouldn’t surprise me if DOJ sued to block, but Netflix will win eventually.
We'll see, reports are that Netflix is offering $27.75/share. However it appears that Paramount has offered a higher price of $30/share, exactly what WB wanted.


So again I expect a lawsuit to be filed and this to be delayed.
 

Stripes

Premium Member
We'll see, reports are that Netflix is offering $27.75/share. However it appears that Paramount has offered a higher price of $30/share, exactly what WB wanted.
Paramount wanted the whole company. $27.75/share from Netflix was just for studio and streaming. The global networks business is being spun-off and will likely be valued higher than $2.25/share. Obviously the WBD board believes that to be the case.
 

Disney Irish

Premium Member
Paramount wanted the whole company. $27.75/share from Netflix was just for studio and streaming. The global networks business is being spun-off and will likely be valued higher than $2.25/share. Obviously the WBD board believes that to be the case.
The spun-off company is legacy media with huge amounts of debt. There is no way that gets anywhere close to more than $10/share in my opinion.

Again I see at least a shareholder lawsuit and a lawsuit from Paramount being on the horizon.

Note my issue here is Netflix swallowing up another streamer and in a couple years squashing theatrical. This is bad overall for consumers.
 

Disney Irish

Premium Member
I don’t necessarily disagree, but I think the other 2 bidders were just as bad.
There was no way that WB was staying independent, the moment Zaslav bought the company it was being setup to be sold.

And Disney, as has been said many many times, was never seriously getting into this mix.
 

Disstevefan1

Well-Known Member
I have a feeling Iger will be leading the company in the background like he did with Chapek after he “steps down” again.

My hope was when TWDC got rid of “Bob the buyer” the company could focus on the IPs they already own and try to fix them, instead spending more money and “buying and destroying” new IPs
 

MisterPenguin

President of Animal Kingdom
Premium Member

Netflix to Buy Warner Bros in $83 Billion Deal​


Brooks Barnes, Lauren Hirsch, Nicole Sperling


Netflix to Buy Warner Bros. in $83 Billion Deal to Create a Streaming Giant​



The deal to acquire the Hollywood behemoth’s television and film studios as well as HBO Max will bulk up the world’s biggest paid streaming service.

The red Netflix logo is seen atop the company’s corporate offices in Los Angeles.

Netflix has never tried an acquisition even remotely close to this size.Credit...Mario Tama/Getty Images
Dec. 5, 2025Updated 11:25 a.m. ET

Netflix announced plans on Friday to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studio and streaming business, in a deal that will send shock waves through Hollywood and the broader media landscape.

The cash-and-stock deal values the business at $82.7 billion, including debt. The acquisition is expected to close after Warner Bros. Discovery carves out its cable unit, which the companies expected be completed by the third quarter of 2026. That means there will be a separate public company controlling channels like CNN, TNT and Discovery.

Netflix is already the world’s largest paid streaming service, with more than 300 million subscribers. Bulking up with Warner Bros. Discovery assets would create a colossus with greater leverage over theater owners and entertainment-industry unions. It could force smaller companies to merge as they scramble to compete.

The acquisition would also complete the conquest of Hollywood by tech insurgents. Instead of acquiring studios, tech companies have mostly grown under their own steam in Hollywood. In 2022, Amazon closed its $8.5 billion acquisition of Metro-Goldwyn-Mayer, home to James Bond and Rocky franchises.
“In a world where people have so many choices, more choices than ever on how to spend their time, we can’t stand still,” Ted Sarandos, Netflix’s co-chief executive, said on a conference call. “We need to keep innovating and investing in stories that matter most to audiences, and that’s what this deal is all about. The combination of Netflix and Warner Bros. creates a better Netflix for the long run.”

The deal came after a bidding war that pitted Netflix, Comcast and Paramount against one another. The three companies submitted sweetened bids this week. Netflix offered mostly cash.

Comcast has also been bidding for Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and HBO Max streaming service. David Ellison, the Paramount chief executive armed with billions from his father, has been trying to buy all of Warner Bros. Discovery, including traditional television channels like CNN and TNT.

The pitch from Netflix was notable in part because it included a pledge to continue theatrical releases for movies from Warner Bros. Discovery. That is a significant development for Netflix, which pioneered at-home viewing and has so far avoided going all in at the box office.
Netflix has never tried an acquisition even remotely close to this size.

The emergence of Netflix as a formidable bidder for Warner Bros. Discovery’s assets surprised many in the industry because of the way it contradicts the streaming giant’s ethos as a company. “We come from a deep heritage of being builders rather than buyers,” a co-chief executive, Greg Peters, said in October at the Bloomberg Screentime conference in Los Angeles.
Image

An intersection of streets with bulky buildings and a security station. Palm trees line one street and a building bears the Warner Bros. logo.

Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios in Burbank, Calif. Comcast has also been bidding for the storied studio and the HBO Max streaming service.Credit...Stella Kalinina for The New York Times
Mr. Peters admitted on the conference call to not being an expert at doing “large-scale” deals but added that it’s yet another evolution for a company that has changed tremendously since it mailed its first DVD in 1998.

“Whether it’s going from DVD to streaming, or U.S. to global, or licensing to originals,” he said, “all those are examples of us getting in, sorting it out, and ultimately being able to deliver on the promise of the opportunity that we see,” he said.

Any deal would need approval from federal regulators. How the Trump administration evaluates antitrust concerns in any of the proposed deals will depend in part on how it defines the key participants in a media industry that is rapidly evolving as technology giants like Apple and Amazon become rivals to legacy players. Part of Netflix’s argument in pursuing Warner Bros is that the market for consuming content is far bigger than just the streaming industry. It is also expected to argue that combining Netflix and Warner Bros. streaming platforms is a better deal for the many consumers who now pay for both.

The deal also needs approval in Europe, where antitrust experts expect the deal to face scrutiny.

On Thursday, a group of anonymous feature film producers sent a letter to Congress with “grave concerns” about Netflix’s buying Warner Bros. Discovery. “Netflix views any time spent watching a movie in a theater as time not spent on their platform,” the letter said. “They have no incentive to support theatrical exhibition, and they have every incentive to kill it.”
Image

A large billboard for the movie “Happy Gilmore 2” hangs over a roadway. Palm trees are in the background.

If the deal fails to win the necessary approvals, Netflix would pay a $5.8 billion break fee to Warner Bros. Discovery, according to documents filed with regulators.Credit...Maggie Shannon for The New York Times
The letter also voiced worry about “monopolistic control” of the streaming market. The producers said they didn’t sign their names to the letter out of “fear of retaliation.”

If the deal falls through because of a failure to get the necessary approvals, Netflix would pay a $5.8 billion break fee to Warner Bros. Discovery, according to documents filed with federal regulators. It is among the largest of such fees in recent deals.

The deal terms also include a provision that would prevent Warner Bros. Discovery from trying to elicit higher bids from Paramount and Comcast. But if those companies lob unsolicited bids the Warner board deems superior and choose to go with, it would owe Netflix $2.8 billion, according to the documents.

More than any movie company, Warner Bros. symbolizes the romance of Old Hollywood. Bette Davis and James Cagney acted on its soundstages. Its 100-year-old library includes “Casablanca,” “The Maltese Falcon,” “Bonnie and Clyde,” “Dirty Harry,” “The Shining” and “Chariots of Fire.” As a result of deal making in the 1990s, Warner Bros. also controls MGM classics like “The Wizard of Oz” and “Gone With the Wind.”
Over the spring and summer, Warner Bros. had one of the most successful box office runs in its history, delivering eight hits in a row, including Ryan Coogler’s “Sinners” and Paul Thomas Anderson’s “One Battle After Another,” both of which are expected to be a force at the coming Academy Awards.

HBO has long been the No. 1 premium television operation in Hollywood. Its roster of current hits includes “Euphoria,” “The Gilded Age” and “The White Lotus.”

By swallowing all of this and more — Warner Bros. also controls Bugs Bunny and television colossuses like “Friends” and “Game of Thrones” — Netflix would greatly strengthen its content hand.

Netflix has shown that it can create hits like “Stranger Things” and “KPop Demon Hunters” from unproven intellectual property. But it has lacked the kind of “enduring, multigenerational franchises that drive recurring engagement from both first-time and longtime viewers,” Robert Fishman, a MoffettNathanson analyst, wrote in a report last month.

Brooks Barnes covers all things Hollywood. He joined The Times in 2007 and previously worked at The Wall Street Journal.
Lauren Hirsch is a Times reporter who covers deals and dealmakers in Wall Street and Washington.
Nicole Sperling covers Hollywood and the streaming industry. She has been a reporter for more than two decades.
 

MisterPenguin

President of Animal Kingdom
Premium Member

Netflix Changes Course Again With Warner Bros. Deal​




Netflix Does an About-Face, in a Big Way​



The streaming giant has changed its strategy many times over the years. But the decision to get deeply into theatrical releases may be the most startling yet.

An office building with a big billboard on one side advertising Stranger Things.

A billboard for “Stranger Things” on the Netflix offices in Los Angeles. The television series will be screened in over 500 theaters on New Year’s Eve and New Year’s Day at the same time it’s available on the service.Credit...Mike Blake/Reuters
Dec. 5, 2025Updated 2:15 p.m. ET

In 2022, Ted Sarandos, a co-chief executive of Netflix, said, “We make our movies for our members, and we really want them to watch them on Netflix.”

In May of this year, he called theatrical distribution “an outmoded idea.”

And in October, Mr. Sarandos said on an earnings call that the company’s goal was to “give our members exclusive first-run movies on Netflix.”

Oh, well — never mind.

On Friday, Netflix announced that it was jumping headlong into the theater world by buying the Warner Bros. studio and streaming business in a deal worth $82.7 billion. Netflix said it planned to “maintain Warner Bros.’ current operations and build on its strengths, including theatrical releases for films.”

The deal is a startling about-face in strategy for the streaming giant, which has never wanted to fully commit to the business of putting movies in theaters.
The company has also not wanted to do other things — until it did them. Its former chief executive, Reed Hastings, used to call password sharing “harmless” and resisted advertising for years. But in 2022, facing a slumping stock price because of a loss of subscribers, the company established an advertising tier and cracked down on password sharing. It wasn’t interested in sports and other live programming until it was. It didn’t do large-scale media mergers until now.

But perhaps no shift is as startling as what appears to be its decision to maintain Warner Bros.’ theatrical distribution operation, which shows some 15 movies a year in theaters — movies like “Superman,” “Dune” and “Barbie.”

“Despite all of Netflix’s success, they have never cracked the movie business,” said Richard Greenfield, an industry analyst at LightShed Partners. “This feels like a sign of: ‘We’re in a really good position, but we really haven’t cracked the movie business, and we can use this to crack the movie business and accelerate what we already do.’”

Mr. Sarandos, in a call with investors on Friday, tried to downplay the change.

He said Netflix had released 30 movies in theaters this year. What he did not say was that none of those films stayed in theaters very long — having what insiders call a short theatrical window. In addition, the company did not report box office results and rarely ran a robust marketing campaign pushing audiences to those movie theaters. It’s a strategy that James Cameron, the filmmaker behind “Avatar” and other blockbusters, called “sucker bait” in a recent interview.

“I wouldn’t look at this as a change in approach for Netflix movies or Warners movies for that matter,” Mr. Sarandos said. “I think over time, the windows will evolve to be much more consumer friendly, to be able to meet the audience where they are quicker, all those things we like to do.”
And that is why the industry has already begun to panic. Shortened theatrical windows have been proved to be a cause of box office declines. According to an analysis of 30 theatrical releases in 2025, releases of 25 days or fewer “produced neither theatrical benefits nor streaming gains, contradicting the idea that audiences are simply “waiting for home release,” according to the Cinelytic Group, an analyst firm. The sweet spot, the company said it had found, is a 26- to 45-day window, which drives both better box office outcomes and higher early streaming market share.”

In the past 24 hours, many groups concerned that Netflix will eventually abandon the traditional theatrical release protested against even the possibility of a deal.

A group of anonymous producers sent a letter to Congress over their “grave concerns.” It read, in part: “Netflix views any time spent watching a movie in a theater as time not spent on their platform. They have no incentive to support theatrical exhibition, and they have every incentive to kill it.”

Cinema United, a group that lobbies on behalf of theaters around the country, also issued a statement, calling the acquisition “an unprecedented threat to the global exhibition business.” Should the movies that Warner Bros. traditionally sends to theaters go away, the statement said, it will amount to “removing 25 percent of the annual domestic box office.” That big of a drop-off could serve as a death knell not only to Warner Bros. films but to the entire theatrical ecosystem, which relies on a steady drumbeat of movies to keep consumers in the habit of moviegoing.

“Netflix’s stated business model does not support theatrical exhibition. In fact, it is the opposite,” Michael O’Leary, the president of Cinema United, said in a statement. “Regulators must look closely at the specifics of this proposed transaction and understand the negative impact it will have on consumers, exhibition and the entertainment industry.”
The theatrical movie business has been on a downward spiral since the pandemic. This year has been particularly worrisome, with a couple of long stretches of fallow times at the theaters. The box office will still end the year with higher sales than 2024 but down nearly a quarter from prepandemic numbers.

Some people in the industry are ready to declare the theatrical movie business over. Others say there need to be more movies and better movies to draw consumers out of their homes.

Over the years, Netflix has dabbled with the idea of setting up a theatrical distribution operation like Warner Bros.’, but it didn’t have the appetite or the right volume of films to make the case. Other priorities won out. Instead, Netflix often puts its prestige pictures in theaters for a short window to qualify them for Oscar consideration and to appease filmmakers who want their movies on the big screen.

Netflix announced in 2022 that it would put the sequel to “Knives Out” in 600 movie theaters for a week, and theater owners called it a “breakthrough.” But it did not become a habit for the company, and the theatrical windows for its movies remained limited. On Nov. 26, Netflix released “Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery” on 500 screens for five days, two weeks before it opens on Netflix.

David A. Gross, who writes a weekly box office newsletter, said that had the latest “Knives” film received a proper marketing campaign and a traditional theatrical release, it could have earned $275 million worldwide. That was based on comparisons to the first movie, which was released in theaters and grossed $313 million back in 2019.
The company’s “KPop Demon Hunters Singalong” entered theaters this year months after it debuted on the service and was a huge hit. On New Year’s Eve and New Year’s Day, the finale of the television series “Stranger Things” will screen in over 500 theaters at the same time it’s available on the service. Many theater showings are already sold out.

“I don’t think Netflix is anti-theaters,” said Mr. Greenfield, the analyst. “I think they will use the movie business as marketing for Netflix rather than as a core part of the business. Look what they did with KPop. That’s a really interesting idea. How do you eventize moments?”
Nicole Sperling covers Hollywood and the streaming industry. She has been a reporter for more than two decades.
 

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