What do 431 points at AKL get you, how long of a stay?
Not sure about AKL, but at Boardwalk and Wilderness Lodge, it gets you 11 nights in the summer in a 1 bedroom.
What do 431 points at AKL get you, how long of a stay?
It really depends on the time of year and room type. At the low end, a Value Studio (basically a converted AKL room) for January, September, or the first 2 weeks of December costs 69 points per week. At the high end, a 3-bedroom Grand Villa for Easter or Christmas costs 918 points per week.
I just ran some numbers assuming an 11-night stay in a Standard View 1-Bedroom Villa at BWV, 7 weekday nights and 4 weekend nights during the early summer (June or first half of July). Direct from Disney cost in 2012 is $565/night plus 12.5% tax. I assume you can rent the equivalent number of points (350) for $10/point in 2012. Disney sometimes offers discounts on villas. I assume a 30% discount. I assume a 2012 BWV DVC resale purchase at $65/point (this is the high end). Most importantly, I assume you do not finance the purchase.
The results:
- DVC is less expensive than renting points after 14 years
- DVC is less expensive than renting from Disney after 5 years
- DVC is less expensive than renting from Disney with 30% discount after 8 years
This assumes that you hold onto your DVC until 2042. Alternatively, If you decide to sell your DVC in 2020 (for example) and if it's selling for $30/point at that time, purchasing a DVC would have been less expensive in all 3 scenarios.
I just ran some numbers assuming an 11-night stay in a Standard View 1-Bedroom Villa at BWV, 7 weekday nights and 4 weekend nights during the early summer (June or first half of July). Direct from Disney cost in 2012 is $565/night plus 12.5% tax. I assume you can rent the equivalent number of points (350) for $10/point in 2012. Disney sometimes offers discounts on villas. I assume a 30% discount. I assume a 2012 BWV DVC resale purchase at $65/point (this is the high end). Most importantly, I assume you do not finance the purchase.
The results:
- DVC is less expensive than renting points after 14 years
- DVC is less expensive than renting from Disney after 5 years
- DVC is less expensive than renting from Disney with 30% discount after 8 years
This assumes that you hold onto your DVC until 2042. Alternatively, If you decide to sell your DVC in 2020 (for example) and if it's selling for $30/point at that time, purchasing a DVC would have been less expensive in all 3 scenarios.
Running the numbers against the price of the room you would normally have stayed in if you didn't do DVC. POFQ rack rate has a much different breakeven point than DVC rack rate if you would normally have stayed moderate vs 1 bdrm.
It is obviously not a good decision for your family. If you have spent all of these years justifying why is not a good deal for you, then please just put a stake in the ground and say, "That's it. I am done." Every year that you have decided not to do it makes the numbers look worse as time goes by.
I think if you tried to do the deal now, you would not be able to sleep and it would make you miserable. My husband and I know we will be going to Disney for a long time. Our kids are 21 and 18. We can't beat them off with sticks. Once we finally suceed with just the two of us getting to go-I am sure there will be grandchildren that will be attending not long after.
DVC is not a decision to be made when you can't think of any good reason to pull the trigger. I will say this though-everythng in life is not black and white, numbers that add up. There are intangibles for every family that buys into DVC-some they do not even realize and some that cannot have a price tag put on them. So, if it has to be strictly a numbers game for you, it will never add up and I would say walk away and don't look back. The savings you might have realized will probably never be worth it to you or your family.
You could buy 1/3 of the amount of points, bank one year, borrow from the next, and still get trip every 3 years. Break even is much less $$$. Also will you always need so many points in 5, 10 20 years ?
So then I figure, well, I must be doing something wrong with the numbers, because I certainly plan on going to Disney for as long as I can tell.
http://forums.wdwmagic.com/threads/so-my-stand-against-wdw-has-begun.839296/Disney's utter indifference towards it's "Crown Jewel" has simply left me cold, bitter, and no longer wishing to spend any more money on their park tickets or resorts.
I know it's not meant to come off this way (or maybe it is), but posts like this are the EXACT reason I'm so torn about DVC. People say things like this as if they're bigger Disney fans than I am, which to me doesn't even seem possible. So then I figure, well, I must be doing something wrong with the numbers, because I certainly plan on going to Disney for as long as I can tell.
Well that didn't take long...
http://forums.wdwmagic.com/threads/so-my-stand-against-wdw-has-begun.839296/
You could buy 1/3 of the amount of points, bank one year, borrow from the next, and still get trip every 3 years. Break even is much less $$$. Also will you always need so many points in 5, 10 20 years ?
Yes, because people can't change their mind.
My opinion on Disney changes constantly. I know you like trying to make people look bad, so if you want to use my flip-flopping as part of your daily routine, go for it. I don't deny it. I'm very indecisive.
It's not just 'changing your mind' - you are swinging polar opposites. You pretty much just vindicated all of your critics in that thread even tho you tried as hard as possible to deny it.
Let's try this again.... PERSONAL SUSPICION. If I had data other than my opinion, it would have read "Data". I will continue to offer opinions - they will always be labled as such, to differentiate them from fact. Opinions are not the least BIT misleading.
I'm glad we got that out of the way - as I initially suspected, SOMEONE that bought on the resale market was going to have a snit over my suggestion that one should actually call WDW - not because they may, or may not, have a better deal - simply because proper research demands that all options get investigated.
If you are happy, then I am happy. But I would like to know why you think it's "helping others" to have them NOT investigate both the actual resale market, AND contact Disney? That's all I've ever said - I don't work for Disney, not do I work for a Reseller. You know others that have purchased resale, and been sucessful - and I suspect that there are quite a few. GoofGoof - how many? What is the percentage of sucessful vs non succesful sales on the resale market in 2012? And if all these were successful, then how did I manage to buy points from Disney? They should not have existed. An actual, measurable Percentage of success is a number - DATA that can be used by others. So what's the number? Is it your number, or is it on the internet- so it must be true?
In my case? Please - just leave me alone. I'm not here to have a fight with anyone. I prefer to go to Disney, not argue with a person that has made a decision. If there is one thing I've learned, it's to just plain shut up, and say NOTHING about this process. Saying anything just brings out trouble.
You want a smaller membership. (In recent years, Disney has put in place a 160-point minimum for a first time buyer. Older contracts are available for smaller amounts.)
You can usually still get them to offer a 100 point buy in. A simple hemming and hawing over the price, saying we don't need that many points etc, and your guide will often excuse themselves, and come back with the ability to get you in the door at 100 points.
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