Coronavirus and Walt Disney World general discussion

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Parker in NYC

Well-Known Member
Original Poster
"Disney Cruise Line had to delay plans to perform a test sailing of Disney Dream from Port Canaveral because of COVID-19 test results.

The ship was set to perform a two-night sailing leaving Tuesday as part of the line’s efforts to receive a conditional sailing certificate from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

An official statement from the cruise line said because of inconsistent test results submitted before sailing, it will have to push the attempt to a later date."

“We are delaying our simulation cruise due to a small number of inconsistent COVID-19 test results, which are considered positive by the CDC,” according to the statement. “The rigorous health and safety protocols we have in place helped us identify the situation, though the test results were ultimately negative.”

Though I was wrong about the sudden lifting of restrictions at the parks, I firmly believe that DCL will remain on hold - test sailings included - for a while. Follow the Parker.
 

DCBaker

Premium Member
Here's the current vaccination status for Orange County via Mayor Demings -

E4_ziKUXEAAwFF8.jpeg


The current 14-Day rolling percent positivity is at 4.1% (an increase of about .4%).
 

correcaminos

Well-Known Member
Though I was wrong about the sudden lifting of restrictions at the parks, I firmly believe that DCL will remain on hold - test sailings included - for a while. Follow the Parker.
If they do what was done elsewhere they could cruise

a news source on it too https://www.webmd.com/lung/news/20210627/first-u-s-cruise-ship-sets-sail-after-15-months
 

Parker in NYC

Well-Known Member
Original Poster
If they do what was done elsewhere they could cruise

a news source on it too https://www.webmd.com/lung/news/20210627/first-u-s-cruise-ship-sets-sail-after-15-months
But, the cruise has just begun. I wouldn't feel safe until they make it home (I mean, other cruising perils notwithstanding).
 

DonniePeverley

Well-Known Member
It started in India. It ripped through India over the course of many months. They had under 5% with one dose when it all started. Population density caused it to be horrific. That is where it was horrific, they were recording 350k+ cases a day. Think on that. You need to stop trying to compare the two countries in real time. We're at completely different levels with each. Cases dropped in India because so many were infected.

1.6 billion Indians (when you take into account migrants) were infected? The UK has a population of 68 million. Yet even with reporting issues, the pandemic seems to be going the wrong way in the UK - ie nearly a 500% growth rate in 2 months. And going the right way in India - as in cases fallen from almost 400,000 a few months ago to now approaching 35,000.

I'm just curious as to how that could happen?
 

ABQ

Well-Known Member
Same.

I’m still trying to figure out what changed - the CDC and President Biden were both saying by July 4th it would be safe to have small gatherings with vaccinated friends - and then they did a quick u-turn and everything opened up.
I'm not looking to get into the mask debate, but the one thing that seems to be different than before was, at least at one time, things did take different turns in the past year +, but for a long time, I kept reading "You wear a mask to protect others" as only a properly fitting N95 mask was said to be effective for the wearer, but 2 layers of cloth were said to do something to prevent the wearer from spreading droplets. This was all prior to the vaccine being available and the wearer being vaccinated. But the WHO statement clearly says that even if you are vaccinated they want you wearing a mask to protect yourself. That seems to be a different message. Again, not looking to get into a debate, just offering an answer to the question of what changed"
 

Polkadotdress

Well-Known Member
This is a bit doom and gloom no?

We are in a great place in this country…


We very well might see a surge in cases but always watch for hospitalizations, that is metric that is important. Thus far, there is no indication that we are 2 or 4 weeks behind the UK. The Delta variant has been here longer than that.

The 2 to 4 weeks behind comment makes no sense to me either. The US economy has been wide open for months now. Very few restrictions on activity. We dropped masks and capacity limits in a lot of places as well over a month ago. If anything we have been ahead of most places on lifting restrictions. I could understand the concern if the UK lifted restrictions and it resulted in a huge surge and we were actually 2 to 4 weeks behind them in lifting the same restrictions, but that just isn’t the case.
Here’s a good detailed explanation of why we should not just “shrug off” what’s happening in the UK, because when you break down the numbers, it tells a different story. Of note, this thread states that the UK has actually fully vaxx’d more people than the US, yet their Delta #s (both caseload and hospitalizations) are growing.

 

DonniePeverley

Well-Known Member
Same.

I’m still trying to figure out what changed - the CDC and President Biden were both saying by July 4th it would be safe to have small gatherings with vaccinated friends - and then they did a quick u-turn and everything opened up.

I did wonder if it was an incentive to push people into getting the vaccine. However, once you stop mask mandating and distancing, it would be politically difficult to bring back i assume.
 

danlb_2000

Premium Member
Fully agree.

All the evidence we have indicates that if you are fully vaccinated your risk of sever illness is extremely low. Yes, wearing a mask may further reduce the risk, but it's already probably lower then a lot of risks we take every day.

There really isn't any strong evidence that the Delta variant is evading the vaccines. I have seen a lot of articles quote that Wall Street Journal article about vaccinated people being infected, but the original article doesn't provide sources for this and is very light on actual data.
 

DonniePeverley

Well-Known Member
Here’s a good detailed explanation of why we should not just “shrug off” what’s happening in the UK, because when you break down the numbers, it tells a different story. Of note, this thread states that the UK has actually fully vaxx’d more people than the US, yet their Delta #s (both caseload and hospitalizations) are growing.



The graph stops in May.

image0 (1).jpeg
 

GoofGoof

Premium Member
Here’s a good detailed explanation of why we should not just “shrug off” what’s happening in the UK, because when you break down the numbers, it tells a different story. Of note, this thread states that the UK has actually fully vaxx’d more people than the US, yet their Delta #s (both caseload and hospitalizations) are growing.


None of this tells me that the US is 2-4 weeks behind the UK on an outbreak based on the delta variant and we will soon be back over 100,000 cases a day and a week later over 200,000 as the other poster stated. Nobody said we shrug anything off but there’s no way anyone can say with any level of certainty that we are 2 to 4 weeks away from a large outbreak like that.
 

Flugell

Well-Known Member
I understand that when looked at by numbers, though percentages and numbers are not comparable that it may appear that the U.K. is being overwhelmed, speaking from the U.K. that is not the case.
On April 28th 2021 there were 2,166 confirmed new cases.
Today the number of confirmed new cases was 22,818 a slightly more than 10 times increase.
Hospital admissions on April 28th 2021 were 107.
Hospital admissions on June 28th 2021 were 227 this is slightly more than double.
The weekly number of deaths for the week of 28th April 2021 was 21.
The weekly number of deaths for this week is 93.
93 is too many but it is definitely not the gloom and doom scenario that I keep seeing on this thread.
Our vaccination rate is continuing to increase rapidly and tests are rapidly available so please don’t despair yet!

As for the situation in India, I have no personal experience as I have never been nor have relatives there. I have however watched various detailed programmes on the situation in India, though appreciate that it maybe biased or simply inaccurate! The situation, as it was presented, is that everything was under reported because
1. Tests were only available at hospitals and they had often run out.
2. There was insufficient time and staff to process all the tests that were administered.
3. Without an official positive COVID test deaths were not recorded as COVID related even though all symptoms were present.
4. In areas outside the big cities there was only minimal health care available so records of cases were not recorded accurately.
5. In cities the hospitals were overwhelmed and didn’t have the time or facilities to record everything accurately.
6. No idea why cases appear to be falling so rapidly but truly hope this is the case and it has burnt itself out and it is not due to a shortage of tests, shortage of medical facilities or government manipulation of figures. I have no evidence for any of these scenarios and am simply speculating and as I stated previously hope that cases are indeed declining naturally!
 
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