Unfortunately, many people hear "vaccine" and "blood clot" and have no idea that there even are multiple vaccines available and that only one might have an extremely rare blood clot issue and isn't being given to anybody right now.
You are cherry picking 1 day. The 7 day average is still over 3M. If I pick a day where we did 4M+ shots would that be reflective of the pace? No. The 7 day average is a much better number than picking a Sunday or Monday which have been the lowest days of the week for a while. Nationally the pace is still about 2 to 1 on first shots vs 2nd shots. A month ago we were hardly averaging a million first shots a day and you had to have a 1st shot to have a second one.
www.bloomberg.com
Yes, we are now getting 28M doses a week delivered from Pfizer and Moderna which is enough doses to do 4M shots a day. We only exceeded 4M doses on a handful of days. The people desperate to be vaccinated have gone already. I saw a recent article which said in polling 1 in 3 Americans say they know at least 1 person who “cut the line” and got vaccinated before they were eligible. There are plenty of people left that want to be vaccinated but they aren’t desperate enough to cut the line or spend hours online searching for an appointment. In 7 states eligibility just opened for the general public and people are signing up but haven’t gone yet. There is going to be a decrease in pace of vaccinations which is not the doom and gloom that people here love to predict. Having appointments available doesn’t mean that nobody is signed up. If we have 4M appointments available a day and only 3M people sign up we still vaccinate 3M people a day. It doesn’t go to zero. Even if the pace drops to 2M a day that’s still not nothing.
I hope that’s not the case. If it is the reason they should immediately stop shipping doses to Long Island. There are plenty of places where people still want the vaccines.
Just as there are people (like me) who believe that all mitigation measures should be lifted as soon as all who wish to be vaccinated have had the opportunity to do so (not actually did it but could have easily gotten a shot), there are people who for whatever reason want restrictions and rules to go on in perpetuity. I can understand people like me wanting to go back to normal, I don't understand people who feel the opposite and seem to want vaccinations to slow or halt.
Lets assume for a minute that the pace drops all the way to 2M doses a day on average and let’s assume it’s 50/50 first shot vs second. That’s still a million new first shots a day. At that pace we would reach 59% of Americans with 1 shot by June 11 which is where Israel is now. So 7 to 8 weeks as the worst case scenario. If pace doesn’t drop that fast it could be sooner.
Thanks for sharing. This paragraph made me chuckle, since I missed a crucial comma at first:Interesting opinion piece from a couple weeks ago on Bloomberg. Yes, opinion, not science, but intriguing to read things from different points of view.
The Pandemic Isn’t Over, But We’re Over It
The beginning of the end of the pandemic as seen from Florida, New York and Rhode Island.
If one of you kind gentlemen could direct me to any post or article that seems to think people want vaccines to stall.. or for that matter want rules of covid to go on in perpetuity as you both said.
It's a perception thing. It shouldn't take any cutting or hours anymore. In my case, group 45+, really wanted the vaccine but super lazy, wasn't going to spend hours searching. The most effort I exerted was to preregister with the state and county when they finally said I was allowed. Then, just waited, and waited some more. The state sent me an appointment link, I signed up. The most I did was include the check box that I was a group 2C job (which was a 20 page list, almost everyone), and I had excessive work flexibility allowing me to pick anything. That last one isn't nothing and definitely made it easier. But, there were lots of choices. From the reports, we're pretty much at the "just sign up for anytime" now.
We're not "desperate to see vaccines stall", we're upset that vaccine rates are stalling and that we're likely to not reach enough. It's not a desire for the pandemic to continue, it's disappointment that it's not going to end as soon as hoped. The truly bizarre part is that the groups that most want the pandemic and all mitigations to be over also seem like the groups least likely to get vaccinated. Not doing the one thing that would cause the other.
Nobody is directly saying it. For me it is a "reading between the lines" feeling. When a poster frequently posts negatively about vaccination rates and also about the importance of maintaining mitigation until cases are "low enough" (however you define that), it seems like they are almost rooting for the former so that the latter doesn't happen. For the record, I don't think you are one of these posters.
See the question in my post #63483 above. The answer (if the answer is what I think it is) may assuage some of your concern.
