Shanghai 2nd gate likely happens (and perhaps with great speed). 2032?
Abu Dhabi by 2035, or never. Quite possibly vaporware. Anyone with a crystal ball should be playing the markets instead of lurking on a theme park forum, but look at the current Strait of Hormuz problem: it only takes the mere threat of a cheap attack drone to effectively paralyze commerce. And they're saying they're going to plop Mickey, quintessential symbol of the USA, right on the other side of the Persian Gulf? It's a stretch.
DLR 3rd gate, if they can get awfully creative patching together the real estate, I think they'd love to have it. Visiting via John Wayne airport and never going near L.A. is already a smooth experience, and there's an urge to build more of a WDW-style weeklong destination resort with a Disney bubble, by sheer will, despite inherited logistical challenges. 2040?
Paris 3rd they'll start building on the cheap again just to stake the claim in 2036 if they don't hit the 22m attendance trigger...but if they can keep getting extensions, they'll much prefer to keep punting it into the future. Let's say 2044 as an over/under for opening.
Orlando 5th gate will happen someday—for our great-grandkids to enjoy. 2065, 2066, or 2071, for a centennial angle?
Hong Kong I wish they would (I'd love an excuse to go again), but the castle park would need more expansion first.
Could Tokyo even build a 3rd barring further land reclamation? They can settle for being the best 2-park resort by far.
New places: I don't see any slam dunks out there.
UK or Spain no way (partly because of that forced incentive to keep cultivating DLP into a EuroWDW).
Australia I doubt...don't think it's enough of a homegrown audience, nor an accessible destination for enough others, and the Asian parks are reasonably convenient to them, especially as stopovers. Many also globetrot to Europe or USA.
People talk Texas (mild winters, crazy population growth, business-friendly) but Texans can (and do) hop a cheap Southwest flight to Florida or SoCal in less than 3 hours. Still more viable than any other North America spot.
India is another one that gets mentioned, for the obvious reason of a huge market, but for those with money to travel, it's not far to Hong Kong...or Abu Dhabi. The ultimate fate of the latter project will inform any future India discussions, for better or worse.
Brazil may be the least bad idea of the new-resort brainstorms. Still, probably won't happen.
So by 2050 I'd expect: 2nd Shanghai, 3rd Paris, 3rd Anaheim, no new locations...probably not even Abu Dhabi
