News NOAA forecasts 'extremely active' hurricane season for the remainder of 2020

[eliza61nyc]

Delaware has extensive damage to trees, buildings with major roof damage, lots of telephone/electrical poles down...they had 2 tornado touchdowns.

Lol have you guys seen Philly. Kelly drive is Kelly lake, barge broke loose and hit overpass.

Yes I have a healthy fear of mother nature.

 

[eliza61nyc]

It’s unbelievable how everything, WDW.. news..scientists..few other hundred I’m forgetting right now, is either fear mongering or fake. It’s no wonder we can’t have a group of 5 people agreeing 2+2=4. Sooner or later we are going to have to believe the people that know a little bit more about something then we do and go with it.

Lol when pigs fly..
Oh wait that's a media invention....

 

[Phicinfan]

When do the toads and locusts swarms of 2020 come?

Uh, Locust swarms have been a problem in Africa this year already.... don't tempt fate here....

 

[larryz]

Well, the situation wouldn't appear quite as dire if the NHC would quit naming every cluster of thunderstorms they see in the Caribbean.

Must be budget justification time for NOAA.

 

[MisterPenguin]

Well, the situation wouldn't appear quite as dire if the NHC would quit naming every cluster of thunderstorms they see in the Caribbean.

Must be budget justification time for NOAA.

If you don't test for tropical depressions, you find the the number of them go down.

 

[larryz]

If you don't test for tropical depressions, you find the the number of them go down.

I suppose. Wake me when it's 2004 again.

 

[DisneyCane]

I'm trying to think of the last time they didn't predict above average or busier than normal. I truly can't remember.

 

[Sorcerer Mickey]

Like @DisneyCane said, the "active/extremely active" prediction is almost tradition. But that doesn't mean there aren't hurricanes. They just might not make landfall in Florida - or anywhere else.

EDIT: I think it was last year or the year before where a lot of hurricanes meandered in the Pacific, for example.

 

[JD2000]

So... how many are predicted or should be expected, in the remaining season, to affect the parks, with at least tropical storm winds?

 

[DisneyCane]

So... how many are predicted or should be expected, in the remaining season, to affect the parks, with at least tropical storm winds?

Even the most advanced model interpreted by the best expert couldn't predict to that level of precision. They can barely predict the day before precisely where will experience various wind speeds.

 

[sndral]

NOAA Now Predicts Up To 25 Named Storms In The Atlantic Hurricane Season

"We've never forecast up to 25 storms," says a NOAA expert. The expected spate of storms in 2020 could force meteorologists to resort to using the Greek alphabet to name storms later this year.

www.npr.org

Here’s another article about the ‘prediction’ for 2020. It is predicting more activity than they thought back in May.

Busy Atlantic hurricane season predicted for 2020

Multiple climate factors indicate above-normal activity is most likely

www.noaa.gov

I don’t know squat about Atlantic/tropical weather, but from reading the various weather forums I glean that if wind shear is low and ocean temps are high then you have the ingredients to make a lot of Atlantic/tropical storms/hurricanes. I have the ingredients to make a lot of dinners in my kitchen, doesn’t mean I will, just that I’m more likely to do so if I have the supplies I need at hand. Same thing w/ hurricanes, I think, the ’supply’ (warm water, low wind shear, & other factors their models use) is there, but who knows if Mother Nature will use those ingredients to cook up more named storms.
Whether those storms materialize and where they go is anybody’s guess, and unless they make landfall somewhere no one really cares except cruisers who’s ships have to change paths & itineraries to avoid the fish storms, but nobody is cruising these days, so there’s that.

 

[MisterPenguin]

I'm trying to think of the last time they didn't predict above average or busier than normal. I truly can't remember.

You need to read the thread you're posting to for reminders. Links are all there. There's been a few in the past decade.

 

[Minthorne]

I'm trying to think of the last time they didn't predict above average or busier than normal. I truly can't remember.

If you just read this thread your memory would have been assisted.

 

[Touchdown]

As for the question will there be more, almost certainly. Hurricane season peaks late Aug-Sept.

 

[Brer Panther]

When do the toads and locusts swarms of 2020 come?

The toads will descend upon the Magic Kingdom in motorcars, merrily on their way to nowhere in particular.

 

[MonorailCoral]

When do the toads and locusts swarms of 2020 come?

The toads will descend upon the Magic Kingdom in motorcars, merrily on their way to nowhere in particular.

Jersey Week is in November.

Murder hornets.

 

[jt04]

Murder hornets.

Murder hornets ate all the EEE carrying mosquitoes this year. So that's good.