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I listened to that entire press conference and don't remember hearing anyone say that the mortality rate was around .7% in reality. We know that is the current rate in South Korea - maybe that is where the confusion lies? Yes they have a higher level of testing - but there are a whole bunch of...

Also: Countries like Spain, Italy, France have gone under total lockdown. America is trying the most American thing we do - giving people a choice (at the federal level) with CDC "Guidelines." I truly believe that the federal government will see the large numbers over the next week and be...

Modeling is not always the most accurate technique, you're right. And journalists need to be smarter when discussing modeling projections. All we really know for sure is that the increase is already happening in certain areas and we have two solutions: 1) lock people down to minimize the future...

Possibly yes - but they also included "high demand" items in their exemption. I bet Video games are in quite high demand right now.

The most important part of Construction workers stopping activity is that their N95 masks can now be used in healthcare facilities. The WH today was encouraging construction workers to donate their masks to nearby hospitals. These masks are NOT easy to make and there is a worldwide shortage that...

A friend told me that two of her friends in California have tested positive. Both in their 30s. One is at home and feels OK (no more fever) but has some difficulty breathing. The other is hospitalized and not doing well. You aren't immune if you are young. Stay home!

Found this interesting: German study (9 patients) of viral shedding characteristics in confirmed Covid patients. Very high viral load early in illness, approx 1000 times greater than SARS. At DAY 8 of active symptoms, no longer able to detect active virus in samples, only viral RNA. Only viral...

Somewhere in the midwest :) Large population state.

Be careful trusting any numbers at this point until testing is ramped by end of week. And even then, the results are very much lagged. Family member's hospital had more positive test results in one day than the state announced for the entire state. The numbers don't match up. They are much...

Been hearing about remsdesivir and chloroquine for a few weeks now from China and other places. Unfortunately, until this is approved, as you stated, a hospital needs to reach out to Gilead to get compassionate use approved for an individual patient to use remsdesivir. Only a few hundred...

The best example we have of an overwhelmed hospital system is Northern Italy. Their current mortality rate is close to 8% - so you are correct. They aren't testing the full population though, so the denominator is likely much higher, and the mortality rate is probably lower. These are just...

The testing is unfortunately only ~90% accurate, and as we unleash 2000 labs this week, there is no national standard for the sensitivity of these tests. All of this means that some of these people who are testing negative are not actually negative, and even the ones that are, probably have some...

South Korea is promising but has a different population and different precautions taking place. Everyone is wearing a mask, temperatures are being taken, etc. Even 1% over a few months would dramatically overwhelm the US healthcare system as it stands today. It isn't for a shortage of doctors...

Anything is possible and on the table - but I don't think that would even be big news at this point considering most of the flights have already been cancelled. It's hard to find flights right now even with open airports. And for friends that have booked some, they are getting cancelled/changed...

Since some people here are asking for this data: There are 5437 positive tests in France with 300 people in serious condition/ICU as of Saturday. Over 50% are under 60 years old (perhaps lots of smokers?)

You have no insight into the situation on how hospitals are handling this. People are not walking into the ED. They are following CDC and local health department guidelines and calling either state hotlines or their doctor. A person over the phone (nurse) is asking questions and trying to...

This is not the correct advice and not what health departments around the US are recommending. Here is the example from my local one on what to do if you have symptoms: "Call your doctor: If you think you have been exposed to COVID-19 and develop a fever and symptoms of respiratory illness...

1) It is exactly what is happening. Read the stories in Seattle, NYC, Chicago, etc. People are calling the hotlines first. It is surprising to me, as well, but they are. It's been fantastic and really helped mitigate further spread. 2) ED's in the US are not overrun yet (im sure it will happen...

What you're saying makes a lot of sense - but for some reason it isn't how the system is currently working. People are calling hotlines and they are being told to avoid their PCP. They are being filtered and, if necessary, told to go to an ED for testing. A family member (physician) recently...

European hospitals don't necessarily have a larger capacity for infectious disease. They have a higher number of beds per person (a lot of this is because it is more rare to find 1 patient rooms in many countries.) I'm not sure if I've read anywhere how many isolation or negative-pressure rooms...