On layoffs, very bad attendance, and Iger's legacy being one of disgrace

flynnibus

Premium Member
Someone once posted here that US was heading towards at LAtin America economy where 10% have means and the rest are just poor ending the middle class. This pandemic may just be that nail in the coffin. The housing market keeps going because poor people were never going to be able to buy a house anyway. Luxury goods keep selling because most of their buyers aren't in the areas of the economy that are losing their jobs.

Yeah - but the economy is interconnected. Where people would expect jobs to be shed.. aren't the only areas.. because while someone says "oh the waiter at the restaurant is sure to lose his work..." - this trickles way way back up the chain as all the companies that sell products to that restaurant are impacted, etc. Suddenly you have a Sales VP at a telecomms company sweating because it is not that his company is shutdown, it's the whole web of industry that is slowed that works its way back to them.

The drop in demand across the board is the real killer. Disney Parks and places like vegas are hyper exposed because they are so narrowly defined. When the travel engine shuts down... it's like someone sucking all the air out of the room.

Until the airline industry gets back to a healthy upward trend... I see Disney staying in deep doodoo.
 

UNCgolf

Well-Known Member
Just thinking about this now; how many within the fan community even went pre-2005?

It's now 2020. We have a whole generation of post-social media Disney fans who only first went within the last 10, maybe 15 years.

We used to talk about how many fans didn't know what Disney was like in the 90s. Now the early 2000s are ancient history to some.

I think that's a big issue, actually (well, not so much for Disney -- it's a great thing for the company).

So many people don't realize how incredibly good WDW was in the early 90s. They have no memory of EPCOT being absolutely incredible, nor do they realize how much has been lost at the Magic Kingdom -- not as much in terms of rides (there are a few gone), but in terms of all the other interesting experiences like all of the themed stores that have been replaced with shops all selling the same merchandise everywhere.

They don't have that as a comparison point, so they don't know how far downhill things have gone.
 
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1HAPPYGHOSTHOST

Well-Known Member
450

"Your company? That should had been my company!"
Why does Walt look different?
 

larryz

I'm Just A Tourist!
Premium Member
I also wanted it to be more of an Adventurer's Club vibe. It didn't get there for me. It had a ton of potential and it missed the mark. I'm not against giving it another shot but I was unimpressed with the first visit.
Have the "off-the-menu" shrimp-on-slaw and the char siu pork.
 

mkt

When a paradise is lost go straight to Disney™
Premium Member
Yeah, I think you have it right on the money. Not sure what you call the area where UO is really. Millenia kind of backs into it so possibly that encompasses UO but once again, not really

It was Doctor Phillips/International Drive before the parks existed, but now it's its own thing.
 

rabidstoat

New Member
The one surprising thing out of this shutdown is just how strong luxury good sales continue to be. Economic uncertainty hasn't hit all job types equally.... Try going out and buying things like hot tubs, home entertainment stuff, etc... inventory is drained everywhere.

I had some vacations already budgeted for this year, money set aside but not yet spent on down payments. When the vacation plans got scrapped I used some of the money on new electronics, got myself a laptop I could play video games on plus a Switch and a couple of games. I figured I'd be around the house a lot more and wanted to expand my entertainment options. So maybe people are doing that, spending money they budgeted for vacations but can no longer spend.

Or they could just be throwing expenses on their credit cards.
 

flynnibus

Premium Member
People are forgoing vacations. Famlies are home. Try to buy a swimming pool or home playground set.

Yes, but that's just a 'trade A for B' situation. Reality is vast swaths of the economy have no idea when they will even be able to function AT ALL - let alone at healthy levels. Or all the people they employ, or all the work facing slowdowns not just in single or double digits... but multiples of their worst slowdowns ever.

In those kinds of outlooks... you don't simply 'buy local instead of travel' - you wonder where the heck my future income is going to be coming from? This is why entities like Universal and Disney are putting on the brakes on so many things... they aren't shifting spending, they are shedding spending and future spending.

Yet... for many, people are spending on luxury goods like mad. It's wild.
 

flynnibus

Premium Member
I think that's a big issue, actually (well, not so much for Disney -- it's a great thing for the company).

So many people don't realize how incredibly good WDW was in the early 90s. They have no memory of EPCOT being absolutely incredible, nor do they realize how much has been lost at the Magic Kingdom -- not as much in terms of rides (there are a few gone), but in terms of all the other interesting experiences like all of the themed stores that have been replaced with shops all selling the same merchandise everywhere.

They don't have that as a comparison point, so they don't know how far downhill things have gone.

Don't worry... there are plenty here that would jump in and tell you that they've been visiting Disney since 2007 and it's the greatest thing ever... you're just being nostalgic :)

Doesn't matter how many examples you give... They thought them being wowed was as good as it gets.
 

mkt

When a paradise is lost go straight to Disney™
Premium Member
People are forgoing vacations. Famlies are home. Try to buy a swimming pool or home playground set.

This is it. We swung by Aldi a few weeks back when they were advertising inflatable pools. I thought it'd be cool to have one in the backyard. We were at the store within an hour of open the day the ad came out, and they were already sold out.
 

mkt

When a paradise is lost go straight to Disney™
Premium Member
Nintendo Switches have been sold out, or in limited supply, for months. Home gym equipment is also hard to get.

Anything to keep people busy at home was snatched up months ago and there's still a drain in some products.

We were able to buy one in April on amazon, at regular retail price. Miraculously. Use nowinstock.net on a computer and set it up desktop alerts + pop open the purchase window. That's also how we've been able to get stuff on Amazon that's in short supply, like hand sanitizer and disinfectant spray and wipes.
 

pheneix

Well-Known Member
Original Poster
Remember when so many posters were drooling over Touring Plans view of what crowds would look like when the parks reopened.. making references to absolutely bonkers past data points like hurricanes? lol

And how people were filling pages of threads of just how they couldn't wait to get back into the parks.. and it was a daily thing about what day they could reschedule for??

Yeah... suckkers... This kind of massive correction was on the board as soon as governments started closing borders and commercial activity. This was going to happen even with a short shutdown.. and now with the future so uncertain, and borders shutdown effectively indefinitely at this point... All of this was like predicting the sunrise.

The one surprising thing out of this shutdown is just how strong luxury good sales continue to be. Economic uncertainty hasn't hit all job types equally.... Try going out and buying things like hot tubs, home entertainment stuff, etc... inventory is drained everywhere.

Last part not a surprise. The rich are getting richer, and the poor are getting poorer.
 

pheneix

Well-Known Member
Original Poster
On the ppl staying at home and buying expensive stuff relative to their means -- a lot of income losses got replaced by the government UI program. Some of the Wall Street analyst critters think that represents 4% of American GDP that was saved from total income losses. Changes in govt benefits could have an immediate adverse effect on the economy. Massive reductions in spending overnight. Perhaps 1-2% off the GDP immediately.

This in-home spending surge is probably already coming to an end. Supply should meet demand soon.

And if I'm wrong, holy crap all our global government stimulus programs were successful.
 

mickey0825

Active Member
Definitely not. Eisner was a great CEO for both the studios and the parks for the early part of his tenure and vastly superior to anything Iger has done.
Eisner saved Disney...he and Frank Wells rebuild the company, saved in from corporate takeover and laid the groundwork for everything it is today.....I give Iger credit...he expanded in areas no one foresaw but Eisner was a true pioneer
 

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