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Disney (and others) at the Box Office - Current State of Affairs

Vegas Disney Fan

Well-Known Member
They still go that Potter show going, so there is one thing... :)
Does this affect the Harry Potter plans for Netflix?

I’m a gigantic HP fan and have been on the fence about this series based on some of the “faithful too but not a retelling of the book” statements made by the people attached to the project, as someone who loves the books I’d be perfectly content with a pure retelling exactly as written but am also curious to see what they come up with.

I’d say I’m cautiously optimistic (to fearful) based on many of my favorite stories being destroyed over the past couple years of remakes.
 

Disney Irish

Premium Member
Does this affect the Harry Potter plans for Netflix?

I’m a gigantic HP fan and have been on the fence about this series based on some of the “faithful too but not a retelling of the book” statements made by the people attached to the project, as someone who loves the books I’d be perfectly content with a pure retelling exactly as written but am also curious to see what they come up with.

I’d say I’m cautiously optimistic (to fearful) based on many of my favorite stories being destroyed over the past couple years of remakes.
If it is moving forward it just won't be on Netflix, it'll now be on HBO or Paramount+ (or whatever combined service they come up with).
 

Disney Irish

Premium Member
"Paramount said the merged company is committed to producing a minimum of 30 theatrical films annually — 15 per studio per year. It promised film will receive a full theatrical release, with a minimum 45-day window globally and the current industry standard home video window prior to availability on subscription streaming services. Doubts around Netflix’s ultimate commitment to theatrical and intermediate windows was a major concern fo exhibitors and many in the Hollywood community."


 

Tony the Tigger

Well-Known Member


Devious!

Yes they're worried about layoffs, there was no guarantee Netflix would have kept everyone either, just an assumption because there was less overlap.

Only time will tell how many will lose their jobs.

That’s not all they’re worried about. Anderson Cooper just quit CBS/Paramount. I guess he has to quit again.
 

MisterPenguin

President of Animal Kingdom
Premium Member














 

Disney Irish

Premium Member
Devious!



That’s not all they’re worried about. Anderson Cooper just quit CBS/Paramount. I guess he has to quit again.
That is what the ones in the posted tweet were worried about.

As for Anderson, it remains to be seen if him leaving CBS was really about minimizing his split time between two companies and spending more time with family, or something else which I won't get into here. If he remains with CNN we know it was the former and not the latter.
 

_caleb

Well-Known Member
"Paramount said the merged company is committed to producing a minimum of 30 theatrical films annually — 15 per studio per year. It promised film will receive a full theatrical release, with a minimum 45-day window globally and the current industry standard home video window prior to availability on subscription streaming services. Doubts around Netflix’s ultimate commitment to theatrical and intermediate windows was a major concern fo exhibitors and many in the Hollywood community."


Locking in 45-day theatrical windows seems like a bad idea.
 

Disney Irish

Premium Member
Locking in 45-day theatrical windows seems like a bad idea.
First its not locking in 45 days, its that is what they have committed as their minimum theater window, many movies could go longer than that.

Also not sure why that would be bad, this is what theater owners want as a minimum from all studios.
 

_caleb

Well-Known Member
First its not locking in 45 days, its that is what they have committed as their minimum theater window, many movies could go longer than that.

Also not sure why that would be bad, this is what theater owners want as a minimum from all studios.
By "locking," I just mean "promising." I know this is what theater owners want.

But I think Netflix made a strong case that the inflexiblity of the traditional theatrical release model is hurting, and not helping Hollywood.
 

MisterPenguin

President of Animal Kingdom
Premium Member
Also, the distributor can only make it *available* in a 45 day (at least) window.

They can't make the exhibitor (the theaters) keep a movie running for 45 days. Especially if you got a bomb to which no one is showing up to on the second week. The exhibitor will kick it out.

Also, deep into holiday-release schedules, exhibitors with just a few screens aren't going to carry all movies available.

So, we'll still see some movies yanked before 45 days (thanks to exhibitors) and some stay longer than 45 days if doing so would be profitable for exhibitor and distributor.
 

Disney Irish

Premium Member
By "locking," I just mean "promising." I know this is what theater owners want.

But I think Netflix made a strong case that the inflexiblity of the traditional theatrical release model is hurting, and not helping Hollywood.
Except if you believed what Teddy was saying with regards to Netflix acquiring WB he found the light and saw that the 45 day window was perfect for WB movies and why they would maintain it.

So either he was lying and you believe his original thoughts that theatrical is outdated, or he was telling the truth and was incorrect on his original statements.
 

_caleb

Well-Known Member
Also, the distributor can only make it *available* in a 45 day (at least) window.

They can't make the exhibitor (the theaters) keep a movie running for 45 days. Especially if you got a bomb to which no one is showing up to on the second week. The exhibitor will kick it out.

Also, deep into holiday-release schedules, exhibitors with just a few screens aren't going to carry all movies available.

So, we'll still see some movies yanked before 45 days (thanks to exhibitors) and some stay longer than 45 days if doing so would be profitable for exhibitor and distributor.
I know theaters aren't required to show a film for 45 days. I just think promising the window is tripling down on the old, dying model.

You know how when you see a movie advertised, they always say something like, "Only in theaters, July 17th!" or whatever? I think these days, that's really disruptive to the marketing investment studios make.

Before, it reminded people “go to the movies to see this film!”

In 2026, it means “you can’t stream this film for another month and a half, when you’ll have forgetten you’d ever heard of it.”

Except if you believed what Teddy was saying with regards to Netflix acquiring WB he found the light and saw that the 45 day window was perfect for WB movies.

So either he was lying and you believe his original thoughts that theatrical is outdated, or he was telling the truth and was incorrect on his original statements.
I figured the evolution of his position was an effort to calm folks in the industry to (rightfully) saw the purchase as an existential threat. I don't think he was lying when he said they'd go with a 45-day window, I think they intended to honor that for WB films.

But I don't think there were any changes to the data that led him to his original conclusion (and has factored into Netflix's success and disruption of the movie business).
 

Disney Irish

Premium Member
I know theaters aren't required to show a film for 45 days. I just think promising the window is tripling down on the old, dying model.

You know how when you see a movie advertised, they always say something like, "Only in theaters, July 17th!" or whatever? I think these days, that's really disruptive to the marketing investment studios make.

Before, it reminded people “go to the movies to see this film!”

In 2026, it means “you can’t stream this film for another month and a half, when you’ll have forgetten you’d ever heard of it.”


I figured the evolution of his position was an effort to calm folks in the industry to (rightfully) saw the purchase as an existential threat. I don't think he was lying when he said they'd go with a 45-day window, I think they intended to honor that for WB films.

But I don't think there were any changes to the data that led him to his original conclusion (and has factored into Netflix's success and disruption of the movie business).
Other than the fact the data shows, as has been discussed here, movies tend to do better on streaming when they have a healthy theatrical run.

I've long been a proponent of the streaming model as a replacement for linear, you can find comments of mine going back almost a decade here on that topic. But as a full replacement for theatrical as what Teddy alluded to in his original comments before, no. Theatrical will continue to change, but I don't see it going away completely, no matter what Netflix does.
 

_caleb

Well-Known Member
Other than the fact the data shows, as has been discussed here, movies tend to do better on streaming when they have a healthy theatrical run.

I've long been a proponent of the streaming model as a replacement for linear, you can find comments of mine going back almost a decade here on that topic. But as a full replacement for theatrical as what Teddy alluded to in his original comments before, no. Theatrical will continue to change, but I don't see it going away completely, no matter what Netflix does.
Yes, I've been following the conversation. I've always agreed with your opinion about this stuff.

I'm not saying Paramount should end theatrical releases or windows. I'm saying I think it would be to Paramount's advantage to take advantage of the Netflix scare to retain as much flexiblity as possible in this disrupted industry.

If Paramount (who represents the old school in this fight) just beat out Netflix, they might not want to make any promises that might make the industry breathe a collective sigh of relief that the disription is over and good old days are here again.
 

Disney Irish

Premium Member
Yes, I've been following the conversation. I've always agreed with your opinion about this stuff.

I'm not saying Paramount should end theatrical releases or windows. I'm saying I think it would be to Paramount's advantage to take advantage of the Netflix scare to retain as much flexiblity as possible in this disrupted industry.

If Paramount (who represents the old school in this fight) just beat out Netflix, they might not want to make any promises that might make the industry breathe a collective sigh of relief that the disription is over and good old days are here again.
Except that makes no sense, the industry wants stability, not chaos. Which is why the industry was against Netflix getting WB in the first place. And I don't think anyone in the industry is looking at this deal even with Paramount making that statement as bringing back the good old days. There are still the same concerns of less movies overall and less content control for creators. So no it make no sense for Paramount to take the same stance as Netflix on theatrical windows, especially since there was no actual promise that it was in perpetuity.
 

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