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Disney (and others) at the Box Office - Current State of Affairs

Ripken10

Well-Known Member
I’m most curious to see if the domestic box office for 2025 equals 2024 when inflation is factored in. After this weekend, it’s going to be about 1.5-2% ahead of 2024 in flat numbers.
Take with a grain of salt, but what i found is that its about 297 million domestic 5 day weekend now. That moves the projected 2025 domestic numbers to be now around 9.2-9.3 billion, about 500-600 million more than 2024 (2024 with inflation based on the estimated ticket price increase most used would be 9.0 billion). At least according to what I found.
 

Disney Irish

Premium Member
I’m most curious to see if the domestic box office for 2025 equals 2024 when inflation is factored in. After this weekend, it’s going to be about 1.5-2% ahead of 2024 in flat numbers.
Once again context matters, its only "ahead" if you count the 2024 hold overs that continued to play into 2025.

If you look at in-calendar releases only, 2025 has fallen even further behind than it was at the end of September, now ~10% behind -

1764531547620.png



2025 in-calendar doesn't look to beat 2024 in-calendar.
 

TalkingHead

Well-Known Member
Take with a grain of salt, but what i found is that its about 297 million domestic 5 day weekend now. That moves the projected 2025 domestic numbers to be now around 9.2-9.3 billion, about 500-600 million more than 2024 (2024 with inflation based on the estimated ticket price increase most used would be 9.0 billion). At least according to what I found.
Box office mojo has $7.57B for 2025 vs $7.48B for 2024 in the YTD comparison
 

Animaniac93-98

Well-Known Member
Wicked: For Good with the normal front loaded sequel performance drop. Down 57% from opening weekend vs the first parts 38% drop from last year.

Through two weekends domestically -
Wicked - $263.19M
Wicked: For Good - $270.44M

$35M gap closed to under $10M

It was a creative and financial risk for Universal to split Wicked into 2 movies, but so far it has paid off, at least financially

For Good is now at about $400 million worldwide. Over $500 million is likely, we'll see if it gets to $600 million

That's still less than the $758 million part 1 has made, but combined, even with the enormous $350-$375 million production budget, the whole 2-movie release will still be profitable. Helps too that the money skews domestic.
 

TP2000

Well-Known Member
I just flew in from Bend, Oregon, and boy, are my arms tired! 🧐

Here's the first pass at box office for the 4 Day Thanksgiving Weekend. Zootopia 2 from WDAS ended its 6 day holiday weekend run with $156 Million domestic. Predator: Badlands from 20th Century didn't crack $5 Million in its 4th weekend. And something called Rental Familiy from Disney's Searchlight Pictures just crested $2 Million over the long holiday weekend.

More brilliant insight and cherry-picked data 🍒 to come tomorrow, after the world returns to the work week..

Screenshot 2025-11-30 10.03.29 PM.png


 

TalkingHead

Well-Known Member
It’s wild that a Disney animated film did so much more business in China than in the U.S. (during a long holiday weekend, no less).

Got me wondering, is there any precedent for a Disney animated title opening to more in China than in the U.S.?
 

Animaniac93-98

Well-Known Member
Got me wondering, is there any precedent for a Disney animated title opening to more in China than in the U.S.?

No, there is no precedent.

Of the nearly $1.7 billion Inside Out 2 made, only $47 million total came from China according to Box Office Mojo

Frozen 2 made $122 million, But the $52 million opening was nowhere near what happened in the USA

Zootopia 1 made $236 million in China, but had a $23 million opening
 

Disney Irish

Premium Member
It’s wild that a Disney animated film did so much more business in China than in the U.S. (during a long holiday weekend, no less).

Got me wondering, is there any precedent for a Disney animated title opening to more in China than in the U.S.?
Without even looking it up, given its the largest opening of all time in the Middle Kingdom for a US animated movie I would guess the answer is no.
 

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