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Disney (and others) at the Box Office - Current State of Affairs

TalkingHead

Well-Known Member
And the 5 day for the first Zootopia was $84M, and it went onto do $1.018B. So it potentially having an opening lower than Moana 2 doesn't say much in terms of how it'll end up doing.
It’ll be interesting to see how it compares to Moana 2 last year, domestically. First Zootopia was pre-pandemic so it’s hardly worth comparing those numbers.
 

Nevermore525

Well-Known Member

Headline: ‘Zootopia 2’ Tracking to Feast on Huge $125M-Plus Opening at Thanksgiving Box Office

Moana 2 did $225M for its five day opening.
That tracking also closely matches where projections had Moana 2 early November prior to release which were $125-$135M over the 5 day weekend.

 

TP2000

Well-Known Member
Okay gang, we're off with another movie from Burbank, and the title has a colon (again)!

Predator: Badlands had previews yesterday that show up in today's box office results, and it pulled in $4.8 Million. Is that good? I can't really tell yet with its relatively small $100 Million production budget, but it seems rather modest for previews.

Off we go into the Badlands this weekend! Or not. 🤔

Screenshot 2025-11-07 12.51.39 PM.png


 

Nevermore525

Well-Known Member

DKampy

Well-Known Member
$40M Domestic, $40M international estimates for Badlands. Go from $60M early projections to $80M not too bad

At only 100 million budget…looking good that it will make a profit theatrically
 

Vegas Disney Fan

Well-Known Member

Looks like it would make a great ABC Christmas special… I struggle to see this making much money as a theatrical release though.

I now wonder if most releases aren’t done simply to make a couple bucks before hitting streaming and the primary audience.

I thought theaters would ultimately go from 12-16 screen multiplexes to 4-8 screen multiplexes but now I’m starting to wonder if we won’t see a repeat of my youth and see stand alone theaters become the norm, play 1 movie for a couple weeks and then move on to the next. No reason to have a half dozen movies playing simultaneously all day when no one is coming to see them. Demand by scarcity may be the solution.
 

Miss Rori

Well-Known Member
Same. Though I still question if releasing it less than a month before Avatar 3 is wise or not in letting it fully ride the tide, but the company knows what it's doing I suppose.
This seems like a silly worry. Disney regularly releases a big-ticket family movie over Thanksgiving and a (usually) more "mature" production over Christmas -- Moana didn't suffer for Rogue One coming out just a month later, nor did Frozen II which was separated from The Rise of Skywalker by a month. Heck, back when Disney was producing substantially more films than it is now Thor: Ragnarok came out at the top of November, Coco over Thanksgiving, and The Last Jedi over Christmas and they were all gigantic hits!

If anything it's worse for Disney if they don't pack the holidays. Remember 2023, when The Marvels, despite getting an extra week of premium playdates due to Dune Part Two moving to the following spring, flatlined and was followed by Wish completely cratering over Thanksgiving? They didn't have a Christmas title that year and they had to settle for trying to get people to check out Wish as it was moved to the smallest auditoriums in many theaters because they had nothing else to offer exhibitors, even more so because all the Spring 2024 titles were moved to 2025 (hence the unsuccessful run of Pixar titles that debuted on streaming having very brief runs the following winter to make up for that).
 

Disney Irish

Premium Member
This seems like a silly worry. Disney regularly releases a big-ticket family movie over Thanksgiving and a (usually) more "mature" production over Christmas -- Moana didn't suffer for Rogue One coming out just a month later, nor did Frozen II which was separated from The Rise of Skywalker by a month. Heck, back when Disney was producing substantially more films than it is now Thor: Ragnarok came out at the top of November, Coco over Thanksgiving, and The Last Jedi over Christmas and they were all gigantic hits!

If anything it's worse for Disney if they don't pack the holidays. Remember 2023, when The Marvels, despite getting an extra week of premium playdates due to Dune Part Two moving to the following spring, flatlined and was followed by Wish completely cratering over Thanksgiving? They didn't have a Christmas title that year and they had to settle for trying to get people to check out Wish as it was moved to the smallest auditoriums in many theaters because they had nothing else to offer exhibitors, even more so because all the Spring 2024 titles were moved to 2025 (hence the unsuccessful run of Pixar titles that debuted on streaming having very brief runs the following winter to make up for that).
We’re in a completely different market than we were prior to 2020. You can’t rely on “packing” the holidays anymore. What the last 5 years have shown us is that audiences are being selective in their ticket purchases. So you can’t assume that just because you have back-to-back-to-back movies being released that the audience will show up for all of it. They may only select one, or even none and just wait for streaming. Your favorite punching bag of Wish is proof of that.
 

Animaniac93-98

Well-Known Member
Haven’t been in this thread lately, but this popped into my feed.



So do we think this will be a 6-7 billion year once the receipts are counted for Zootopia and Avatar?


This looks to be for calendar year 2025, which would include the money Mufasa made after January 1

Because of Avatar's late release date (Dec 19) Disney may not get to $7 billion by Dec 31
 

Disney Analyst

Well-Known Member
Original Poster
This looks to be for calendar year 2025, which would include the money Mufasa made after January 1

Because of Avatar's late release date (Dec 19) Disney may not get to $7 billion by Dec 31

It all counts toward the 2025 gross if released in 2025. Even if majority of avatar box office is earned in 2026.

It shouldn’t included Mufasa if released last year, but not sure what Scott’s basing his numbers on.

ETA: maybe I’m wrong and this isn’t accurate??
 

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