Disney (and others) at the Box Office - Current State of Affairs

[TP2000]

Anyone have a candy hangover today? Box office first pass is in for Halloween weekend. Not much surprising here, just a continuation of month-long trends for everything, including Tron: Ares.

The Numbers - Weekend Box Office Chart for October 31, 2025

Weekend Domestic Box Office Chart for the weekend of October 31, 2025

www.the-numbers.com

 

[TP2000]

And with that, I think it's safe to say we'll be able to put Tron: Ares into the undistinguished history books by Veteran's Day weekend. It's flatlining fast both domestically and overseas in this 4th weekend out. Here's how that looks historically against the last Tron movie in 2010. I

Tron: Ares is on track to lose at least $150 Million. I think Burbank just killed the franchise for good, don't you?

The 2010 global box office of $400 Million for Tron Legacy, adjusted for inflation, would be $600 Million in today's money!

Tron: Ares is going to struggle to get to the $150 Million mark at the global box office the next few weeks.

 

[TP2000]

Spider-Man is Marvel.

Oh, how stupid of me! I keep forgetting that, and always think it's a Sony Pictures franchise.

And DCA even has that Spiderman Pew-Pew D Ticket knockoff of Midway Mania. I must remember that in the future!

So this past Halloween, I had over a dozen Marvel guys at my porch, but they were all Spiderman under age 10. And no other Marvel or Star Wars characters from the boys.

 

[TP2000]

I still find it funny that you all are looking for Avatar character consumes, ie half naked blue aliens, during Halloween where average temperatures across the US is in the 40s or 50s (lower in some places) at night. Sorry but its not a costume that lends itself well to being worn during a cold Halloween night.

At this point, 15 years after the movie came out, it's just a funny thing to do on Halloween.

 

[TP2000]

Now how we can make a similar Christmas themed experiment?

That's covered by my equally scientific and peer-reviewed Target Toy Aisles Status Report the first week of December.

 

[LittleBuford]

Oh, how stupid of me! I keep forgetting that, and always think it's a Sony Pictures franchise.

It's shared between the two studios in a rather complex arrangement.

 

[Disney Irish]

At this point, 15 years after the movie came out, it's just a funny thing to do on Halloween.

I'm aware its all meaningless, my point is that to even highlight it is silly. I mean what was the average temp between 5-7p in St George on Friday? What 50s, maybe mid-60s at highest? Yeah so no parent in their right mind is going to let their kid walk around half naked as an alien painted blue in that weather even if it might seem on the mild side, no matter how "popular" or not the IP is.

 

[TP2000]

I'm aware its all meaningless, my point is that to even highlight it is silly. I mean what was the average temp between 5-7p in St George on Friday? What 50s, maybe mid-60s at highest? Yeah so no parent in their right mind is going to let their kid walk around half naked as an alien painted blue in that weather even if it might seem on the mild side, no matter how "popular" or not the IP is.

We had a warm fall day last Friday; a cloudless sky and in low 80's for the high, and by trick-or-treat time it was in the low 70's into high 60's, with a gorgeously deep blue/orange sky. But very crisp and dry. Lovely, really!

I had always assumed, if the kids suddenly went crazy for Avatar, like all other characters with weird colored skin, the manufacturers for Disney would make full body costumes that were blue skintone, and then with flappy brown loincloths sewn onto them, with Pandora folk art jewelry, accoutrements, spears, etc. available as accessory purchases.

Like little boys who go as the Hulk, but wear copyrighted green costumes from Target and WalMart that cover them from head to feet, instead of painting their entire body green and going barefoot and only wearing torn purple shorts.

 

[Disney Irish]

We had a warm fall day last Friday; a cloudless sky and in low 80's for the high, and by trick-or-treat time it was in the low 70's into high 60's, with a gorgeously deep blue/orange sky. But very crisp and dry. Lovely, really!

I had always assumed, if the kids suddenly went crazy for Avatar, like all other characters with weird colored skin, the manufacturers for Disney would make full body costumes that were blue skintone, and then with flappy brown loincloths sewn onto them, with Pandora folk art jewelry, accoutrements, spears, etc. available as accessory purchases.

Like little boys who go as the Hulk, but wear copyrighted green costumes from Target and WalMart that cover them from head to feet, instead of painting their entire body green and going barefoot and only wearing torn purple shorts.

View attachment 891041

Little different when you’re talking about an overly muscled out large character versus one with long lanky normal muscle definitions. Hard to look like the Hulk without the huge muscles my friend, hence the costume with enlarged muscles.

 

[Tony the Tigger]

Spider-Man is Marvel, so it's not like there isn't any of that represented right now

I did actually encounter a third star wars character on the other hand, so you know my population sample was large. An adult man dressed as the Stranger from the Acolyte - of all things.

Season 2 confirmed!

I'm aware its all meaningless, my point is that to even highlight it is silly. I mean what was the average temp between 5-7p in St George on Friday? What 50s, maybe mid-60s at highest? Yeah so no parent in their right mind is going to let their kid walk around half naked as an alien painted blue in that weather even if it might seem on the mild side, no matter how "popular" or not the IP is.

I mean, there are other ways. Especially for kids. It could easily be a pajama like costume with a mask.

 

[Disney Irish]

I mean, there are other ways. Especially for kids. It could easily be a pajama like costume with a mask.

No doubt there are "other" ways if one really really wanted to wear a costume from a particular IP and its cold out. However my guess is that most parents would suggest their kids where something else if Avatar was a kids choice.

From the sounds of it though this "metric" has shown that most kids do generic costumes these days if they aren't into KPop.

 

[CoastalElite64]

Avatar is more of a costume you find at adult Halloween parties...

 

[TP2000]

I forgot to ask the gang here, did anyone get one of these at their front door last Friday night? I didn't.

 

[MisterPenguin]

I forgot to ask the gang here, did anyone get one of these at their front door last Friday night? I didn't.

View attachment 891064

All I know is that I didn't get one Peter Pan. That IP is trash.

 

[LittleBuford]

This Halloween-costume metric makes little sense to me. If box-office success really could be measured in this way, we should have seen a lot of children dressed as Moana, Stitch, or the characters from Inside Out.

 

[Disney Irish]

I forgot to ask the gang here, did anyone get one of these at their front door last Friday night? I didn't.

View attachment 891064

Did you get any Princess Tiana's in her green ballgown? If no, then I wouldn't expect any with her adventurer costumer either.

 

[Disney Irish]

This Halloween-costume metric makes little sense to me. If box-office success really could be measured in this way, we should have seen a lot of children dressed as Moana, Stitch, or the characters from Inside Out.

I never understood it much myself either, but it gives a 70 year old guy some joy into thinking he's tapped into the pulse of what's "hip" in current pop culture.

 

[LittleBuford]

I never understood it much myself either, but it gives a 70 year old guy some joy into thinking he's tapped into the pulse of what's "hip" in current pop culture.

No need to bring his age into it. I’m “only” in my 40s and hopelessly out of touch with what young people today are into.

 

[Disney Irish]

No need to bring his age into it. I’m “only” in my 40s and hopelessly out of touch with what young people today are into.

It puts things into context, because 20-30 years ago, heck maybe even 10 years ago, it was probably more relevant than today. Today kids are more likely to go as their favorite game character or tuber than they are a movie character.

Also TP and I go way back on this topic, he originally brought this up back many years ago over in the DLR forums, we used to go back and forth on it over there too.

 

[MisterPenguin]

Box Office Massacre: October Revenue Falls to 27-Year Low, Excluding the Pandemic

The dramatic downturn in North America is due to a scarcity of product and the failure of fall event pics to connect with audiences, including the ill-fated 'Tron: Ares' and the Dwayne Johnson starrer 'The Smashing Machine.'

www.hollywoodreporter.com