News Disney’s Q3 FY25 Earnings Results Webcast

Sirwalterraleigh

Premium Member
If I remember correctly, last quarter saw an occupancy rate of close to 2019 but attendance levels were not which seems to say that they are pushing more offsite or local guests in to their hotels. Trend is probably continuing.
On property rooms don’t account for anywhere close to total attendance of on property foot traffic.

They never did.

Generally speaking…those paying for Disney rooms are in the can…the price alone is the give away…let alone the many thousands of 50 year timeshare blocks.

But that’s just the backbone of your daily crowd.

86% occupancy is not impressive to me…but in a bit of a tough critic
 

lentesta

Premium Member
Hugh on Q4 bookings: In terms of bookings for experiences for the fourth quarter, right now they are up about 6%. So we certainly feel positively about that as well.

Was 7% for Q4 last cycle, so 6% is slightly softer but we're closer and presumably more "locked in" (to use Hugh's words). So that is solid.

Vegas would sell their first-born for those numbers.
 

Sirwalterraleigh

Premium Member
Hugh on Q4 bookings: In terms of bookings for experiences for the fourth quarter, right now they are up about 6%. So we certainly feel positively about that as well.
Didn’t he say that for the last quarter and it ended up flush?

What are they comping the bookings to? 2024? Previous quarter?

It’s not financial data…it’s not in filings until after the fact. Buried in the revenue weeds

That kinda thing deserves scrutiny

Bookings have not been “up” anywhere in travel for the last year…not the trendline…at least not in the US

And for that matter…what the hell are you”bookings”? It sounds like rooms - simple enough - but have they “reorganized” that term to mean other things like they have near every thing else?

Use small words…remember I am an idiot
 
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ctrlaltdel

Well-Known Member
Again, company is proving to be pretty strong and resilient. Impressive parks numbers in the face of declining international travel and a lot more economic anxiety. The deals have probably helped, although there is still room to raise prices.

The ESPN streaming announcements this past week have been impressive. Still not sure of how successful the service will be (the high price point is essentially because they don't want to kill off the still very profitable but declining cable assets), but giving the NFL an equity stake in ESPN in exchange for extremely valuable properties like Red Zone and additional games seems like a smart medium term move. Interested to see what happens with ESPN. Streaming has completely stabilized for them and Disney will be one of the winners of the streaming wars.
 

Sirwalterraleigh

Premium Member
Guest spending up. Imagine if they actually put out a better product and gave people more options and increase capacity how much more will be spent?!?
That’s my Star Wars argument:

“Look at all that money they make!”

Yeah…good thing they can’t track/report all the money they are NOT making due to product rot.

Shareholders would not be kind to those types of things if they were actually engaged…but they’re mostly computers anyway 😎
 

MisterPenguin

President of Animal Kingdom
Premium Member
And it’ll work because their diehard customer base won’t be stopped as long as credit card debt is an option.
There is no substantial number of people that are going into debt over Disney trips. That was a click-bait article that spun "paying by credit card" into "going into debt."

That very same article pointed out that almost all people paying with credit card had their trip paid off within 3 months.
 

Kamikaze

Well-Known Member
That’s half the picture…the other is not giving the audience what captures it…

Anecdotal…had an 18 year old walk in last night after seeing fantastic four with his buddies (video teacher at school had free tickets…which in of itself is weird) and when I asked how it was…said “it was alright…not quite as bad as the other marvel stuff”

Not getting the kid who literally was raised on MCU to give it some air might be a tad alarming.

Anyone…digression…for another day to discuss
F4 as a group is weird because the younger audience has only been exposed to the horrible movies that have come out before. The original F4 fans are mostly dead or don't care, or aren't going to see it in theatres. I will say I have no interest in them as a group, although I did see the movie because I see all Marvel movies. This doesn't explain how Thunderbolts performed, though, even though that was a very good film.

The Incredibles are a better version of the 'super family'.
 

lentesta

Premium Member
Didn’t he say that for the last quarter and it ended up flush?

What are they comping the bookings to? 2024? Previous quarter?

It’s not financial data…it’s not in filings until after the fact. Buried in the revenue weeds

That kinda thing deserves scrutiny

Bookings have not been “up” anywhere in travel for the last year…not the trendline…at least not in the US

And for that matter…what the hell are you”bookings”? It sounds like rooms - simple enough - but have they “reorganized” that term to mean other things like they have near every thing else?

Use small words…remember I am an idiot

Yeah, that's a concern for attendance. Johnston said that for Q3 hotel bookings were coming in at +4%. And it looks like they got that number.

WDW attendance was up less than that (I'm guessing +1%), which means off-site visitors had to be down slightly.

So if they're projecting +6% for Q4, they might need 2/3rds of that just to break even on attendance. Not that they care about tiny margins in attendance instead of per-cap revenue.
 

Sirwalterraleigh

Premium Member
The deals have probably helped, although there is still room to raise prices.
Where did you get that one? 🤔
The ESPN streaming announcements this past week have been impressive. Still not sure of how successful the service will be (the high price point is essentially because they don't want to kill off the still very profitable but declining cable assets), but giving the NFL an equity stake in ESPN in exchange for extremely valuable properties like Red Zone and additional games seems like a smart medium term move. Interested to see what happens with ESPN. Streaming has completely stabilized for them and Disney will be one of the winners of the streaming wars.
ESPN has been a fish flopping on the concrete for 15 years…they have practically skinned it at this point.

Will this save it?

Doubtful. Full throated throw in with the nfl and the elephant in that room is an interesting move…to say the least.

I wonder if the more planning to spend and ungodly amount of money to take one of the two big contracts away from cbs and fox?
 

Kamikaze

Well-Known Member
Guest spending up. Imagine if they actually put out a better product and gave people more options and increase capacity how much more will be spent?!?
I mean, they're definitely working on it. Its been multiple decades since they've moved with such speed and intent on so many projects across so many areas. Now, will an economic downturn slow them down?
 

Sirwalterraleigh

Premium Member
Yeah, that's a concern for attendance. Johnston said that for Q3 hotel bookings were coming in at +4%. And it looks like they got that number.

WDW attendance was up less than that (I'm guessing +1%), which means off-site visitors had to be down slightly.

So if they're projecting +6% for Q4, they might need 2/3rds of that just to break even on attendance. Not that they care about tiny margins in attendance instead of per-cap revenue.
I’m still trying to figure out what +4 in “bookings” is…might be a dumb question…but cart before the horse may be happening.

On property hotel bookings over April -June 2024…correct? So that number was like 83% last year?
 

Kamikaze

Well-Known Member
Full throated throw in with the nfl and the elephant in that room is an interesting move…to say the least.

I wonder if the more planning to spend and ungodly amount of money to take one of the two big contracts away from cbs and fox?
So theres certainly something to that, they probably think they can negotiate better terms (even if its still just MNF or an expanded MNF package) by giving the NFL a 10% stake, but for those big contracts they are also going to have to fight with Amazon and Google and probably Apple as well.
 

Sirwalterraleigh

Premium Member
I mean, they're definitely working on it. Its been multiple decades since they've moved with such speed and intent on so many projects across so many areas. Now, will an economic downturn slow them down?
They have a lot of consruction on…but it is results in a net +1 in attractions over an undefined timeline as it stands. That’s what is ACTUALLY going on right now.

Is that a serious effort? You decide
As it stands
 

Kamikaze

Well-Known Member
They have a lot of consruction on…but it is results in a net +1 in attractions over an undefined timeline as it stands. That’s what is ACTUALLY going on right now.

Is that a serious effort? You decide
As it stands
You have to manipulate quite a lot to say its only +1 attraction.

I'm not only referring to WDW, btw.
 

Sirwalterraleigh

Premium Member
So theres certainly something to that, they probably think they can negotiate better terms (even if its still just MNF) by giving the NFL a 10% stake, but for those big contracts they are also going to have to fight with Amazon and Google and probably Apple as well.
Monday night football is literally the worst matchup of the week…for the national broadcasts. On purpose. If you consider Thursday was forced on the owners by the league and none of them like it/barely go along with it .Will that change now?
 

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