Issued at 2100 UTC FRI SEP 18 2020
900
WTNT23 KNHC 182043
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM WILFRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL232020
2100 UTC FRI SEP 18 2020
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 34.4W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE 120SE 30SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 34.4W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 33.7W
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 13.2N 36.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 90SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 14.3N 39.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 20SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 15.4N 42.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 16.4N 45.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 20NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 17.1N 48.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 17.5N 50.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N 34.4W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
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900
WTNT23 KNHC 182043
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM WILFRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL232020
2100 UTC FRI SEP 18 2020
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 34.4W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE 120SE 30SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 34.4W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 33.7W
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 13.2N 36.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 90SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 14.3N 39.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 20SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 15.4N 42.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 16.4N 45.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 20NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 17.1N 48.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 17.5N 50.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N 34.4W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
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