Issued at 400 PM CDT THU OCT 27 2011 000WTNT33 KNHC 272034TCPAT3 BULLETINTROPICAL STORM RINA ADVISORY NUMBER 19NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182011400 PM CDT THU OCT 27 2011 ...AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER REPORTS THAT RINA CONTINUES TOWEAKEN... SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION----------------------------------------------LOCATION...19.8N 87.2WABOUT 50 MI...85 KM SSW OF COZUMEL MEXICOABOUT 115 MI...185 KM NE OF CHETUMAL MEXICOMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/HPRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/HMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.29 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS--------------------CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNINGFOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA SOUTH OF PUNTA GRUESA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...* THE EAST AND NORTH COASTS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM PUNTAGRUESA TO PROGRESO PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TOCOMPLETION IN THE WARNING AREA. INTERESTS IN WESTERN CUBA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF RINA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITORPRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK------------------------------AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RINA WASLOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.2 WEST. RINA ISMOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION ISEXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT. A TURN TOWARD THE EAST AND A DECREASEIN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED ON FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF RINA SHOULD MOVE OVER THE NORTHEASTERN YUCATANPENINSULA TONIGHT...AND THEN BE NEAR OR OVER THE NORTHEASTERNYUCATAN PENINSULA AND THE ADJACENT ISLANDS ON FRIDAY. REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATETHAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECASTDURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND RINA COULD WEAKEN TO A TROPICALDEPRESSION BY SATURDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KMFROM THE CENTER. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTERAIRCRAFT IS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND----------------------WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE SPREADING ONTO THE COAST OFTHE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND THE ADJACENT ISLANDS IN THE TROPICAL STORMWARNING AREA. THESE CONDITIONS SHOULD SPREAD NORTHWARD ALONG THECOAST AND THE ADJACENT ISLANDS IN THE WARNING AREA TONIGHT. RAINFALL...RINA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6INCHES OVER THE EASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA AND COZUMEL THROUGHFRIDAY WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS TO 10 INCHES. STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEARAND TO THE RIGHT OF THE TRACK OF THE CENTER. NEAR THE COAST...THESURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES. NEXT ADVISORY-------------NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 PM CDT.NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT. $$FORECASTER BEVEN
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