Issued at 0300 UTC SAT SEP 12 2020
000
WTNT22 KNHC 120249
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM PAULETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172020
0300 UTC SAT SEP 12 2020
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
BERMUDA.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.8N 54.8W AT 12/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 14 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT.......180NE 80SE 60SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 120SE 300SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.8N 54.8W AT 12/0300Z
AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.4N 54.3W
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 27.1N 56.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 20SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...170NE 80SE 70SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 28.5N 58.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 80SE 70SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 29.6N 61.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 90SE 80SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 30.7N 63.7W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 35SE 25SW 35NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 110SE 90SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 32.1N 65.1W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 90SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 33.8N 65.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 110SW 120NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 37.0N 60.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 40.0N 54.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.8N 54.8W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 12/0600Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY
Continue reading...
000
WTNT22 KNHC 120249
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM PAULETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172020
0300 UTC SAT SEP 12 2020
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
BERMUDA.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.8N 54.8W AT 12/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 14 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE 20SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT.......180NE 80SE 60SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 120SE 300SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.8N 54.8W AT 12/0300Z
AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.4N 54.3W
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 27.1N 56.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 20SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...170NE 80SE 70SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 28.5N 58.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 80SE 70SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 29.6N 61.2W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 25SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 90SE 80SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 30.7N 63.7W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 35SE 25SW 35NW.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 110SE 90SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 32.1N 65.1W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 90SW 110NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 33.8N 65.0W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 110SW 120NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 37.0N 60.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 40.0N 54.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.8N 54.8W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 12/0600Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY
Continue reading...