Issued at 500 AM AST MON OCT 03 2011 000WTNT31 KNHC 030853TCPAT1 BULLETINTROPICAL STORM OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER 43NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162011500 AM AST MON OCT 03 2011 ...OPHELIA WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM AS IT RACES TOWARD THE AVALONPENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND.... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION----------------------------------------------LOCATION...46.5N 54.2WABOUT 55 MI...85 KM WSW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLANDMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/HPRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 43 MPH...69 KM/HMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS--------------------CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...* THE AVALON PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITORPRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK------------------------------AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WASLOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 46.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 54.2 WEST. OPHELIA ISMOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 43 MPH...69 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THEEAST-NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATERTODAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TOPASS OVER THE AVALON PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND THIS MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAS DECREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND OPHELIAIS EXPECTED TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LATER TODAY. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370 KM...PRIMARILY EAST THROUGH SOUTH OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 983 MB...29.03 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND----------------------WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE AVALONPENINSULA THIS MORNING. RAINFALL...OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONSOF 2 TO 3 INCHES OVER SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND. SURF...LARGE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY OPHELIA WILL AFFECTPORTIONS OF THE SOUTH COAST OF NEWFOUNDLAND TODAY...CAUSINGLIFE-THREATENING SURF CONDITIONS. NEXT ADVISORY-------------NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM AST.NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST. $$FORECASTER STEWART
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