Issued at 500 PM AST TUE SEP 13 2011 000WTNT34 KNHC 132032TCPAT4 BULLETINTROPICAL STORM MARIA ADVISORY NUMBER 29NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011500 PM AST TUE SEP 13 2011 ...MARIA MOVING NORTHWARD...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FORBERMUDA... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION----------------------------------------------LOCATION...22.8N 67.9WABOUT 320 MI...515 KM E OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMASABOUT 685 MI...1100 KM SSW OF BERMUDAMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/HPRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/HMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS--------------------CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FORBERMUDA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...* BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AREEXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITORPRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK------------------------------AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WASLOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.9 WEST. MARIA ISMOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H...AND THIS GENERALMOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS WITH ANINCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST ISEXPECTED ON THURSDAY WITH A FURTHER INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ONTHE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF MARIA WILL PASS WEST OF BERMUDAON THURSDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHERGUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND----------------------RAINFALL...MARIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF4 TO 8 INCHES OVER PUERTO RICO...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15TO 20 INCHES OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS ANDMUDSLIDES OVER AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS BERMUDA THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON BERMUDA BYWEDNESDAY NIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY. NEXT ADVISORY-------------NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM AST.NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST. $$FORECASTER BRENNAN
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