Issued at 0300 UTC TUE OCT 22 2013
000
WTNT23 KNHC 220232
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM LORENZO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132013
0300 UTC TUE OCT 22 2013
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 53.8W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 53.8W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.2N 54.2W
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 29.7N 52.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 80SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 29.9N 50.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 80SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 30.2N 49.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 70SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 30.7N 48.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 32.5N 45.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.3N 53.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BERG
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000
WTNT23 KNHC 220232
TCMAT3
TROPICAL STORM LORENZO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132013
0300 UTC TUE OCT 22 2013
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 53.8W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 120SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 53.8W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.2N 54.2W
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 29.7N 52.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 80SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 29.9N 50.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 80SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 30.2N 49.6W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 70SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 30.7N 48.5W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 32.5N 45.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.3N 53.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BERG
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