Issued at 1100 PM AST THU SEP 12 2013
000
WTNT42 KNHC 130252
TCDAT2
TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072013
1100 PM AST THU SEP 12 2013
ONCE AGAIN DEEP CONVECTION HAS LARGELY DISAPPEARED NEAR THE CENTER
OF GABRIELLE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS 35 KT...BUT THIS COULD
BE GENEROUS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS THE CYCLONE ACCELERATES
NORTHEASTWARD AND IS ABSORBED BY A FRONTAL SYSTEM IN 36 HOURS OR
PERHAPS A LITTLE SOONER.
GABRIELLE IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 015 DEGREES AT
ABOUT 9 KNOTS AHEAD OF A DEVELOPING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH OVER THE
EASTERN UNITED STATES. GABRIELLE SHOULD CONTINUE TO ACCELERATE
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ON FRIDAY...AND THE NHC TRACK IS IN GOOD
AGREEMENT WITH THE MODEL GUIDANCE THROUGH DISSIPATION.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 13/0300Z 35.1N 67.7W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 13/1200Z 38.0N 66.8W 30 KT 35 MPH
24H 14/0000Z 43.8N 64.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
36H 14/1200Z...DISSIPATED
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
Continue reading...
000
WTNT42 KNHC 130252
TCDAT2
TROPICAL STORM GABRIELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072013
1100 PM AST THU SEP 12 2013
ONCE AGAIN DEEP CONVECTION HAS LARGELY DISAPPEARED NEAR THE CENTER
OF GABRIELLE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS 35 KT...BUT THIS COULD
BE GENEROUS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS THE CYCLONE ACCELERATES
NORTHEASTWARD AND IS ABSORBED BY A FRONTAL SYSTEM IN 36 HOURS OR
PERHAPS A LITTLE SOONER.
GABRIELLE IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 015 DEGREES AT
ABOUT 9 KNOTS AHEAD OF A DEVELOPING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH OVER THE
EASTERN UNITED STATES. GABRIELLE SHOULD CONTINUE TO ACCELERATE
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD ON FRIDAY...AND THE NHC TRACK IS IN GOOD
AGREEMENT WITH THE MODEL GUIDANCE THROUGH DISSIPATION.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 13/0300Z 35.1N 67.7W 35 KT 40 MPH
12H 13/1200Z 38.0N 66.8W 30 KT 35 MPH
24H 14/0000Z 43.8N 64.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
36H 14/1200Z...DISSIPATED
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
Continue reading...