Issued at 0900 UTC SAT AUG 17 2013
000
WTNT25 KNHC 170840
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052013
0900 UTC SAT AUG 17 2013
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 35.6W AT 17/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 50SE 0SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 35.6W AT 17/0900Z
AT 17/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 35.1W
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 19.7N 37.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 0SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 20.4N 38.9W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 0SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 20.9N 40.8W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 21.4N 43.1W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 23.0N 48.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 25.5N 52.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N 35.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
Continue reading...
000
WTNT25 KNHC 170840
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM ERIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052013
0900 UTC SAT AUG 17 2013
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 35.6W AT 17/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 50SE 0SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 35.6W AT 17/0900Z
AT 17/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 35.1W
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 19.7N 37.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 0SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 20.4N 38.9W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 0SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 20.9N 40.8W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 21.4N 43.1W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 23.0N 48.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 25.5N 52.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.9N 35.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
Continue reading...