Issued at 1500 UTC MON JUN 06 2016
000
FONT13 KNHC 061456
PWSAT3
TROPICAL STORM COLIN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032016
1500 UTC MON JUN 06 2016
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM COLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 1(10) X(10)
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) 35(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35)
CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
FAYETTEVILLE 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CHERRY PT NC 34 X 1( 1) 20(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
CHERRY PT NC 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
NEW RIVER NC 34 X 1( 1) 34(35) 1(36) X(36) X(36) X(36)
NEW RIVER NC 50 X X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 X 1( 1) 29(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
MOREHEAD CITY 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
SURF CITY NC 34 X 1( 1) 22(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
SURF CITY NC 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
WILMINGTON NC 34 X 1( 1) 19(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BALD HEAD ISL 34 X 4( 4) 27(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31)
BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
FLORENCE SC 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
LITTLE RIVER 34 X 5( 5) 14(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
LITTLE RIVER 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 X 7( 7) 12(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
GEORGETOWN SC 34 X 12(12) 10(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
GEORGETOWN SC 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CHARLESTON SC 34 X 19(19) 4(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
CHARLESTON SC 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X 20(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
BEAUFORT MCAS 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SAVANNAH GA 34 X 24(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
SAVANNAH GA 50 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
KINGS BAY GA 34 1 63(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64)
KINGS BAY GA 50 X 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
WAYCROSS GA 34 1 30(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31)
WAYCROSS GA 50 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
MAYPORT NS FL 34 1 61(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62)
MAYPORT NS FL 50 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
JACKSONVILLE 34 2 64(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66)
JACKSONVILLE 50 X 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
GAINESVILLE FL 34 14 49(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) X(63)
GAINESVILLE FL 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 6 24(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
THE VILLAGES 34 18 21(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39)
ORLANDO FL 34 9 12(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 5 7(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
PATRICK AFB 34 5 7(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
FT PIERCE FL 34 3 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
W PALM BEACH 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
NAPLES FL 34 7 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
FT MYERS FL 34 10 X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
VENICE FL 34 21 X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
TAMPA FL 34 31 3(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 45 21(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66)
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 5 6(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
ST MARKS FL 34 9 12(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
ST MARKS FL 50 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
APALACHICOLA 34 15 2(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
GFMX 290N 850W 34 43 1(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44)
GFMX 290N 850W 50 6 X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
PANAMA CITY FL 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
Continue reading...
000
FONT13 KNHC 061456
PWSAT3
TROPICAL STORM COLIN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032016
1500 UTC MON JUN 06 2016
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM COLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 1(10) X(10)
CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
OCEANA NAS VA 34 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ELIZABETH CTY 34 X X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
ROCKY MT NC 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) 35(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35)
CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
FAYETTEVILLE 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CHERRY PT NC 34 X 1( 1) 20(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
CHERRY PT NC 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
NEW RIVER NC 34 X 1( 1) 34(35) 1(36) X(36) X(36) X(36)
NEW RIVER NC 50 X X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 X 1( 1) 29(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
MOREHEAD CITY 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
SURF CITY NC 34 X 1( 1) 22(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
SURF CITY NC 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
WILMINGTON NC 34 X 1( 1) 19(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BALD HEAD ISL 34 X 4( 4) 27(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31)
BALD HEAD ISL 50 X X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
FLORENCE SC 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
LITTLE RIVER 34 X 5( 5) 14(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
LITTLE RIVER 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 X 7( 7) 12(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19)
GEORGETOWN SC 34 X 12(12) 10(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
GEORGETOWN SC 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CHARLESTON SC 34 X 19(19) 4(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23)
CHARLESTON SC 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 X 20(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
BEAUFORT MCAS 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SAVANNAH GA 34 X 24(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
SAVANNAH GA 50 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
KINGS BAY GA 34 1 63(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64)
KINGS BAY GA 50 X 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
WAYCROSS GA 34 1 30(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31)
WAYCROSS GA 50 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
MAYPORT NS FL 34 1 61(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62)
MAYPORT NS FL 50 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
JACKSONVILLE 34 2 64(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66)
JACKSONVILLE 50 X 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
GAINESVILLE FL 34 14 49(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) X(63)
GAINESVILLE FL 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 6 24(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
THE VILLAGES 34 18 21(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39)
ORLANDO FL 34 9 12(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 5 7(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
PATRICK AFB 34 5 7(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
FT PIERCE FL 34 3 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
W PALM BEACH 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
NAPLES FL 34 7 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
FT MYERS FL 34 10 X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
VENICE FL 34 21 X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
TAMPA FL 34 31 3(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 45 21(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66) X(66)
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 5 6(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
ST MARKS FL 34 9 12(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
ST MARKS FL 50 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
APALACHICOLA 34 15 2(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
GFMX 290N 850W 34 43 1(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44)
GFMX 290N 850W 50 6 X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
PANAMA CITY FL 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
Continue reading...