Issued at 0900 UTC SAT SEP 19 2020
000
FONT12 KNHC 190853
PWSAT2
TROPICAL STORM BETA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL222020
0900 UTC SAT SEP 19 2020
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BETA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
26.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
GULFPORT MS 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 4( 6)
STENNIS MS 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 3( 7)
BURAS LA 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) 4( 9)
GFMX 280N 890W 34 6 3( 9) 2(11) 2(13) 1(14) 1(15) 4(19)
JACKSON MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) 2( 7) 5(12)
GFMX 280N 910W 34 55 6(61) 3(64) 2(66) 1(67) 1(68) 2(70)
GFMX 280N 910W 50 1 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6)
BATON ROUGE LA 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 2( 7) 2( 9) 6(15)
MORGAN CITY LA 34 1 2( 3) 3( 6) 2( 8) 2(10) 3(13) 4(17)
ALEXANDRIA LA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 2( 6) 2( 8) 5(13)
LAFAYETTE LA 34 1 2( 3) 3( 6) 2( 8) 3(11) 4(15) 6(21)
NEW IBERIA LA 34 1 2( 3) 4( 7) 2( 9) 3(12) 3(15) 6(21)
NEW IBERIA LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
GFMX 280N 930W 34 65 20(85) 5(90) 1(91) 1(92) 1(93) X(93)
GFMX 280N 930W 50 11 27(38) 8(46) 2(48) X(48) 2(50) 1(51)
GFMX 280N 930W 64 X 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) X( 9)
SHREVEPORT LA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 3( 7)
FORT POLK LA 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) 3(10) 4(14) 4(18)
LAKE CHARLES 34 X 3( 3) 3( 6) 5(11) 5(16) 6(22) 5(27)
LAKE CHARLES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3)
CAMERON LA 34 5 14(19) 13(32) 7(39) 5(44) 5(49) 5(54)
CAMERON LA 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 3( 8) 3(11)
CAMERON LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
JASPER TX 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 4( 8) 5(13) 4(17) 4(21)
KOUNTZE TX 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 5(11) 7(18) 6(24) 4(28)
KOUNTZE TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
PORT ARTHUR TX 34 X 3( 3) 6( 9) 5(14) 7(21) 6(27) 4(31)
PORT ARTHUR TX 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5)
GALVESTON TX 34 3 18(21) 21(42) 15(57) 6(63) 3(66) 2(68)
GALVESTON TX 50 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 7(13) 6(19) 3(22) 3(25)
GALVESTON TX 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7)
HOUSTON TX 34 X 3( 3) 6( 9) 10(19) 13(32) 5(37) 3(40)
HOUSTON TX 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8)
HOUSTON TX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
AUSTIN TX 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 9(14) 4(18) 2(20)
SAN ANTONIO TX 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 8(14) 6(20) 1(21)
FREEPORT TX 34 X 4( 4) 17(21) 20(41) 11(52) 3(55) 2(57)
FREEPORT TX 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 6(15) 3(18) 1(19)
FREEPORT TX 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
GFMX 280N 950W 34 7 35(42) 30(72) 11(83) 4(87) 1(88) X(88)
GFMX 280N 950W 50 X 9( 9) 26(35) 17(52) 4(56) 1(57) 1(58)
GFMX 280N 950W 64 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 10(19) 5(24) X(24) 1(25)
HIGH ISLAND TX 34 X 4( 4) 10(14) 9(23) 9(32) 6(38) 3(41)
HIGH ISLAND TX 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) 2( 9)
HIGH ISLAND TX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
MATAGORDA TX 34 2 14(16) 24(40) 21(61) 8(69) 3(72) 1(73)
MATAGORDA TX 50 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 17(23) 12(35) 3(38) 2(40)
MATAGORDA TX 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 7(12) 1(13) X(13)
PORT O CONNOR 34 2 11(13) 22(35) 24(59) 11(70) 3(73) 1(74)
PORT O CONNOR 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 17(23) 14(37) 3(40) 2(42)
PORT O CONNOR 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 8(14) 1(15) 1(16)
ROCKPORT TX 34 X 2( 2) 8(10) 18(28) 19(47) 7(54) 2(56)
ROCKPORT TX 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 11(17) 3(20) X(20)
ROCKPORT TX 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) 1( 6)
CORPUS CHRISTI 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 13(20) 19(39) 8(47) 2(49)
CORPUS CHRISTI 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 4(15) 1(16)
CORPUS CHRISTI 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4)
GFMX 270N 960W 34 2 17(19) 30(49) 16(65) 10(75) 5(80) 1(81)
GFMX 270N 960W 50 X 2( 2) 13(15) 16(31) 9(40) 4(44) 1(45)
GFMX 270N 960W 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 6(17) 2(19) X(19)
MCALLEN TX 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 9(15) 8(23) X(23)
MCALLEN TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4)
HARLINGEN TX 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) 11(19) 9(28) X(28)
HARLINGEN TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6)
HARLINGEN TX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2)
BROWNSVILLE TX 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9) 9(18) 9(27) X(27)
BROWNSVILLE TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5)
BROWNSVILLE TX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
GFMX 250N 960W 34 1 5( 6) 9(15) 8(23) 10(33) 6(39) 1(40)
GFMX 250N 960W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) X( 8)
GFMX 250N 960W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
LA PESCA MX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6)
PENSACOLA NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
KEESLER AB 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) 5(10)
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
Continue reading...
000
FONT12 KNHC 190853
PWSAT2
TROPICAL STORM BETA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL222020
0900 UTC SAT SEP 19 2020
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BETA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
26.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
GFMX 290N 870W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
GULFPORT MS 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 4( 6)
STENNIS MS 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 3( 7)
BURAS LA 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) 4( 9)
GFMX 280N 890W 34 6 3( 9) 2(11) 2(13) 1(14) 1(15) 4(19)
JACKSON MS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) 2( 7) 5(12)
GFMX 280N 910W 34 55 6(61) 3(64) 2(66) 1(67) 1(68) 2(70)
GFMX 280N 910W 50 1 2( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6)
BATON ROUGE LA 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 2( 7) 2( 9) 6(15)
MORGAN CITY LA 34 1 2( 3) 3( 6) 2( 8) 2(10) 3(13) 4(17)
ALEXANDRIA LA 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 2( 6) 2( 8) 5(13)
LAFAYETTE LA 34 1 2( 3) 3( 6) 2( 8) 3(11) 4(15) 6(21)
NEW IBERIA LA 34 1 2( 3) 4( 7) 2( 9) 3(12) 3(15) 6(21)
NEW IBERIA LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
GFMX 280N 930W 34 65 20(85) 5(90) 1(91) 1(92) 1(93) X(93)
GFMX 280N 930W 50 11 27(38) 8(46) 2(48) X(48) 2(50) 1(51)
GFMX 280N 930W 64 X 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) X( 9)
SHREVEPORT LA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 3( 7)
FORT POLK LA 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) 3(10) 4(14) 4(18)
LAKE CHARLES 34 X 3( 3) 3( 6) 5(11) 5(16) 6(22) 5(27)
LAKE CHARLES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3)
CAMERON LA 34 5 14(19) 13(32) 7(39) 5(44) 5(49) 5(54)
CAMERON LA 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 3( 8) 3(11)
CAMERON LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
JASPER TX 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 4( 8) 5(13) 4(17) 4(21)
KOUNTZE TX 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 5(11) 7(18) 6(24) 4(28)
KOUNTZE TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
PORT ARTHUR TX 34 X 3( 3) 6( 9) 5(14) 7(21) 6(27) 4(31)
PORT ARTHUR TX 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5)
GALVESTON TX 34 3 18(21) 21(42) 15(57) 6(63) 3(66) 2(68)
GALVESTON TX 50 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 7(13) 6(19) 3(22) 3(25)
GALVESTON TX 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7)
HOUSTON TX 34 X 3( 3) 6( 9) 10(19) 13(32) 5(37) 3(40)
HOUSTON TX 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8)
HOUSTON TX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
AUSTIN TX 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 9(14) 4(18) 2(20)
SAN ANTONIO TX 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 8(14) 6(20) 1(21)
FREEPORT TX 34 X 4( 4) 17(21) 20(41) 11(52) 3(55) 2(57)
FREEPORT TX 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 6(15) 3(18) 1(19)
FREEPORT TX 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
GFMX 280N 950W 34 7 35(42) 30(72) 11(83) 4(87) 1(88) X(88)
GFMX 280N 950W 50 X 9( 9) 26(35) 17(52) 4(56) 1(57) 1(58)
GFMX 280N 950W 64 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 10(19) 5(24) X(24) 1(25)
HIGH ISLAND TX 34 X 4( 4) 10(14) 9(23) 9(32) 6(38) 3(41)
HIGH ISLAND TX 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) 2( 9)
HIGH ISLAND TX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
MATAGORDA TX 34 2 14(16) 24(40) 21(61) 8(69) 3(72) 1(73)
MATAGORDA TX 50 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 17(23) 12(35) 3(38) 2(40)
MATAGORDA TX 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 7(12) 1(13) X(13)
PORT O CONNOR 34 2 11(13) 22(35) 24(59) 11(70) 3(73) 1(74)
PORT O CONNOR 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 17(23) 14(37) 3(40) 2(42)
PORT O CONNOR 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 8(14) 1(15) 1(16)
ROCKPORT TX 34 X 2( 2) 8(10) 18(28) 19(47) 7(54) 2(56)
ROCKPORT TX 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 11(17) 3(20) X(20)
ROCKPORT TX 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) 1( 6)
CORPUS CHRISTI 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 13(20) 19(39) 8(47) 2(49)
CORPUS CHRISTI 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 4(15) 1(16)
CORPUS CHRISTI 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4)
GFMX 270N 960W 34 2 17(19) 30(49) 16(65) 10(75) 5(80) 1(81)
GFMX 270N 960W 50 X 2( 2) 13(15) 16(31) 9(40) 4(44) 1(45)
GFMX 270N 960W 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 6(17) 2(19) X(19)
MCALLEN TX 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 9(15) 8(23) X(23)
MCALLEN TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4)
HARLINGEN TX 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) 11(19) 9(28) X(28)
HARLINGEN TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6)
HARLINGEN TX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2)
BROWNSVILLE TX 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9) 9(18) 9(27) X(27)
BROWNSVILLE TX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5)
BROWNSVILLE TX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
GFMX 250N 960W 34 1 5( 6) 9(15) 8(23) 10(33) 6(39) 1(40)
GFMX 250N 960W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) X( 8)
GFMX 250N 960W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
LA PESCA MX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6)
PENSACOLA NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
KEESLER AB 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) 5(10)
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
Continue reading...