Issued at 2100 UTC FRI SEP 18 2020
000
WTNT22 KNHC 182052
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM BETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL222020
2100 UTC FRI SEP 18 2020
INTERESTS ALONG THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF BETA. STORM SURGE AND TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE
WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN GULF
COAST TONIGHT OR ON SATURDAY.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 93.1W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 0SE 0SW 80NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 93.1W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.9N 93.3W
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 25.1N 92.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 40SE 30SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 25.9N 93.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 60SE 40SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 26.1N 93.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...130NE 70SE 70SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 26.3N 94.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...140NE 90SE 80SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 26.5N 95.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...150NE 90SE 80SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 26.8N 96.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 80SE 80SW 100NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 27.5N 96.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 28.5N 96.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.3N 93.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
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000
WTNT22 KNHC 182052
TCMAT2
TROPICAL STORM BETA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL222020
2100 UTC FRI SEP 18 2020
INTERESTS ALONG THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF BETA. STORM SURGE AND TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE
WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN GULF
COAST TONIGHT OR ON SATURDAY.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 93.1W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 8 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE 0SE 0SW 80NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 93.1W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.9N 93.3W
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 25.1N 92.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 40SE 30SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 25.9N 93.0W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 60SE 40SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 26.1N 93.7W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...130NE 70SE 70SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 26.3N 94.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...140NE 90SE 80SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 26.5N 95.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...150NE 90SE 80SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 26.8N 96.3W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 80SE 80SW 100NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 27.5N 96.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 28.5N 96.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.3N 93.1W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
Continue reading...