Tropical Storm BERTHA Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9

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Original Poster
Issued at 0300 UTC SUN AUG 03 2014


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FONT13 KNHC 030240
PWSAT3

TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032014
0300 UTC SUN AUG 03 2014

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI

FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT

HIBERNIA OILFD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10)

CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
CAPE RACE NFLD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)

ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13)
ILE ST PIERRE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)

BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8)

PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)

EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 5(12)

SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10)

SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 10(28)
SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10)
SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)

HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 2(11)

YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7)

MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)

ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)

HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)

NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5)

CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5)

MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4)

BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) X(10)

GREAT EXUMA 34 X 4( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)

SAN SALVADOR 34 1 42(43) 4(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47)
SAN SALVADOR 50 X 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
SAN SALVADOR 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)

MAYAGUANA 34 9 41(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) X(50)
MAYAGUANA 50 X 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
MAYAGUANA 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)

GRAND TURK 34 85 X(85) 1(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86)
GRAND TURK 50 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)

PUERTO PLATA 34 18 X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN

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