Issued at 0300 UTC SAT AUG 02 2014
000
FONT13 KNHC 020245
PWSAT3
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032014
0300 UTC SAT AUG 02 2014
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7)
HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4)
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 2(18)
BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 24(25) 8(33) X(33) X(33)
SAN SALVADOR 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
SAN SALVADOR 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 28(35) 1(36) X(36) X(36)
MAYAGUANA 50 X X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
MAYAGUANA 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
GRAND TURK 34 X 1( 1) 46(47) 6(53) X(53) X(53) X(53)
GRAND TURK 50 X X( X) 10(10) 3(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
GRAND TURK 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
PUERTO PLATA 34 X 3( 3) 20(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)
PUERTO PLATA 50 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SANTO DOMINGO 34 X 9( 9) 4(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
PONCE 34 9 63(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72)
PONCE 50 X 10(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
PONCE 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
SAN JUAN 34 12 44(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56)
SAN JUAN 50 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SAINT THOMAS 34 27 9(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36)
SAINT CROIX 34 54 2(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56)
SAINT MAARTEN 34 10 X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 22 X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
BARBUDA 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ANTIGUA 34 6 X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
GUADELOUPE 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
AVES 34 47 X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47)
DOMINICA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
Continue reading...
000
FONT13 KNHC 020245
PWSAT3
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032014
0300 UTC SAT AUG 02 2014
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7)
HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4)
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 2(18)
BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 24(25) 8(33) X(33) X(33)
SAN SALVADOR 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
SAN SALVADOR 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 28(35) 1(36) X(36) X(36)
MAYAGUANA 50 X X( X) X( X) 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
MAYAGUANA 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
GRAND TURK 34 X 1( 1) 46(47) 6(53) X(53) X(53) X(53)
GRAND TURK 50 X X( X) 10(10) 3(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
GRAND TURK 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
PUERTO PLATA 34 X 3( 3) 20(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)
PUERTO PLATA 50 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SANTO DOMINGO 34 X 9( 9) 4(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13)
PONCE 34 9 63(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72)
PONCE 50 X 10(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
PONCE 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
SAN JUAN 34 12 44(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56)
SAN JUAN 50 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SAINT THOMAS 34 27 9(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36)
SAINT CROIX 34 54 2(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56)
SAINT MAARTEN 34 10 X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 22 X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
BARBUDA 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ANTIGUA 34 6 X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
GUADELOUPE 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
AVES 34 47 X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47)
DOMINICA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
Continue reading...