Issued at 0300 UTC FRI AUG 01 2014
000
FONT13 KNHC 010300
PWSAT3
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032014
0300 UTC FRI AUG 01 2014
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 12.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 55.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6)
WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
PATRICK AFB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 2(11)
ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8)
GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) 1(13)
GREAT EXUMA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 11(17) 1(18)
SAN SALVADOR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)
MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 5(19) X(19)
MAYAGUANA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) 1(22) 1(23)
GRAND TURK 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
LES CAYES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
CAPE BEATA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 23(25) 1(26) X(26)
PUERTO PLATA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
PUERTO PLATA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) X( X) 10(10) 17(27) X(27) X(27)
SANTO DOMINGO 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
SANTO DOMINGO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
PONCE 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 37(41) 1(42) X(42) X(42)
PONCE 50 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
PONCE 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
SAN JUAN 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 24(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)
SAN JUAN 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SAN JUAN 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 11(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) 16(16) 12(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)
SAINT CROIX 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SAINT MAARTEN 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X 1( 1) 9(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
BARBUDA 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
ANTIGUA 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
GUADELOUPE 34 X 5( 5) 9(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
AVES 34 X 1( 1) 54(55) 1(56) X(56) X(56) X(56)
AVES 50 X X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
AVES 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
DOMINICA 34 X 29(29) 12(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41)
DOMINICA 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
MARTINIQUE 34 X 53(53) 4(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57)
MARTINIQUE 50 X 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
MARTINIQUE 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
SAINT LUCIA 34 X 30(30) 2(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
SAINT LUCIA 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SAINT VINCENT 34 X 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
BARBADOS 34 1 21(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
Continue reading...
000
FONT13 KNHC 010300
PWSAT3
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032014
0300 UTC FRI AUG 01 2014
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 12.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 55.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6)
WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
PATRICK AFB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
FT PIERCE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
W PALM BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
MIAMI FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 2(11)
ANDROS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8)
GREAT EXUMA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) 1(13)
GREAT EXUMA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
SAN SALVADOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 11(17) 1(18)
SAN SALVADOR 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3)
MAYAGUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 5(19) X(19)
MAYAGUANA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) 1(22) 1(23)
GRAND TURK 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
LES CAYES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
CAPE BEATA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 23(25) 1(26) X(26)
PUERTO PLATA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
PUERTO PLATA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) X( X) 10(10) 17(27) X(27) X(27)
SANTO DOMINGO 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
SANTO DOMINGO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
PONCE 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 37(41) 1(42) X(42) X(42)
PONCE 50 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
PONCE 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
SAN JUAN 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 24(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)
SAN JUAN 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SAN JUAN 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 11(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) 16(16) 12(28) X(28) X(28) X(28)
SAINT CROIX 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SAINT MAARTEN 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X 1( 1) 9(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
BARBUDA 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
ANTIGUA 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
GUADELOUPE 34 X 5( 5) 9(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
AVES 34 X 1( 1) 54(55) 1(56) X(56) X(56) X(56)
AVES 50 X X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
AVES 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
DOMINICA 34 X 29(29) 12(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41)
DOMINICA 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
MARTINIQUE 34 X 53(53) 4(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57)
MARTINIQUE 50 X 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
MARTINIQUE 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
SAINT LUCIA 34 X 30(30) 2(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32)
SAINT LUCIA 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SAINT VINCENT 34 X 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
BARBADOS 34 1 21(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
Continue reading...