Issued at 500 PM AST Fri Sep 04 2020
000
WTNT45 KNHC 042033
TCDAT5
Tropical Depression Omar Discussion Number 17
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152020
500 PM AST Fri Sep 04 2020
Omar continues to hang on as a tropical depression. The cyclone is
producing a small area of thunderstorms to the south of the center,
enough to continue writing advisories on this system for now. The
initial intensity is held at 30 kt based on the earlier ASCAT data.
Omar has been more resistant than expected to the ongoing northerly
wind shear, but the models insist that the continued shear, dry
air, and cooler waters should cause it to decay to a remnant low
this evening or early Saturday and dissipate entirely by Saturday
night.
The tropical depression is still moving eastward at about 5 kt. An
approaching deep-layer trough should cause Omar to turn north-
northeastward tonight and then accelerate in that direction
until it dissipates over the northern central Atlantic this
weekend.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 04/2100Z 35.3N 57.3W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 05/0600Z 36.2N 57.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 05/1800Z 38.0N 56.1W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 06/0600Z...DISSIPATED
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
Continue reading...
000
WTNT45 KNHC 042033
TCDAT5
Tropical Depression Omar Discussion Number 17
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152020
500 PM AST Fri Sep 04 2020
Omar continues to hang on as a tropical depression. The cyclone is
producing a small area of thunderstorms to the south of the center,
enough to continue writing advisories on this system for now. The
initial intensity is held at 30 kt based on the earlier ASCAT data.
Omar has been more resistant than expected to the ongoing northerly
wind shear, but the models insist that the continued shear, dry
air, and cooler waters should cause it to decay to a remnant low
this evening or early Saturday and dissipate entirely by Saturday
night.
The tropical depression is still moving eastward at about 5 kt. An
approaching deep-layer trough should cause Omar to turn north-
northeastward tonight and then accelerate in that direction
until it dissipates over the northern central Atlantic this
weekend.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 04/2100Z 35.3N 57.3W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 05/0600Z 36.2N 57.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 05/1800Z 38.0N 56.1W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 06/0600Z...DISSIPATED
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
Continue reading...