Issued at 2100 UTC TUE NOV 19 2013
000
WTNT24 KNHC 192045
TCMAT4
SUBTROPICAL STORM MELISSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142013
2100 UTC TUE NOV 19 2013
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.0N 53.7W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 14 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 90NE 90SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT.......240NE 150SE 150SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..540NE 600SE 600SW 420NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.0N 53.7W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.5N 54.3W
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 34.9N 51.4W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...240NE 170SE 160SW 200NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 37.4N 46.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 0NW.
34 KT...240NE 200SE 180SW 210NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 40.1N 41.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 70SE 70SW 0NW.
34 KT...240NE 220SE 200SW 220NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 42.4N 35.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 90SE 90SW 0NW.
34 KT...240NE 240SE 300SW 240NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 47.0N 26.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...300NE 240SE 210SW 180NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 53.5N 24.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.0N 53.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
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000
WTNT24 KNHC 192045
TCMAT4
SUBTROPICAL STORM MELISSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142013
2100 UTC TUE NOV 19 2013
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.0N 53.7W AT 19/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 14 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 90NE 90SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT.......240NE 150SE 150SW 200NW.
12 FT SEAS..540NE 600SE 600SW 420NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.0N 53.7W AT 19/2100Z
AT 19/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.5N 54.3W
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 34.9N 51.4W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...240NE 170SE 160SW 200NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 37.4N 46.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 0NW.
34 KT...240NE 200SE 180SW 210NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 40.1N 41.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 70SE 70SW 0NW.
34 KT...240NE 220SE 200SW 220NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 42.4N 35.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 90SE 90SW 0NW.
34 KT...240NE 240SE 300SW 240NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 47.0N 26.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...300NE 240SE 210SW 180NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 53.5N 24.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.0N 53.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
Continue reading...