Issued at 1100 AM EDT SUN MAY 27 2012 000WTNT32 KNHC 271448TCPAT2 BULLETINSUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL ADVISORY NUMBER 7NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL0220121100 AM EDT SUN MAY 27 2012 ...RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT FINDS BERYL A LITTLE STRONGER... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION-----------------------------------------------LOCATION...30.1N 79.6WABOUT 125 MI...205 KM E OF JACKSONVILLE FLORIDAABOUT 135 MI...220 KM ESE OF BRUNSWICK GEORGIAMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/HPRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/HMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS--------------------CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...* VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE FLORIDA TO EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITEDSTATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASEMONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICEFORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDETHE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONALMETEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK------------------------------AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYLWAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.6 WEST. THESTORM IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. A WESTWARDMOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH LANDFALL. AFTER LANDFALL...BERYL IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND THEN TURNNORTHWARD OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIAON MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. REPORTS FOR AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATETHAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTEDBEFORE LANDFALL. AFTER LANDFALL...BERYL IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO ADEPRESSION ON MONDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KMFROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND----------------------WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH THECOAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA FROM NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA TO SOUTHERNSOUTH CAROLINA LATE THIS MORNING OR THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUETHROUGH TONIGHT. STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILLCAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISINGWATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND IFTHE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE... COASTAL PORTIONS OF SOUTH CAROLINA...GEORGIA...AND NORTH FLORIDA...1 TO 3 FT THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TOTHE NORTH OF THE LANDFALL LOCATION...WHERE THE SURGE WILL BEACCOMPANIED BY LARGE WAVES. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THERELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARYGREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOURAREA...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHERSERVICE OFFICE. SURF...DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS...INCLUDING RIP CURRENTS...AREEXPECTED ALONG THE COAST FROM NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA TO NORTHCAROLINA OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND. PLEASE SEESTATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FORINFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA. RAINFALL...BERYL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF3 TO 6 INCHES ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED STATESFROM NORTHERN FLORIDA THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA. NEXT ADVISORY-------------NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM EDT.NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT. $$FORECASTER BROWN/CANGIALOSI
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