Issued at 800 AM EDT SUN MAY 27 2012 000WTNT32 KNHC 271150TCPAT2 BULLETINSUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6ANWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022012800 AM EDT SUN MAY 27 2012 ...BERYL HEADING TOWARD THE COAST OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITEDSTATES...RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING THESTORM... SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION----------------------------------------------LOCATION...30.3N 78.9WABOUT 165 MI...270 KM E OF JACKSONVILLE FLORIDAABOUT 180 MI...290 KM SE OF SAVANNAH GEORGIAMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/HPRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 250 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/HMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS--------------------CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...* VOLUSIA/BREVARD COUNTY LINE FLORIDA TO EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLEINLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BYYOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK------------------------------AT 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM BERYL WASLOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.9 WEST. BERYL ISMOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. A TURNTOWARD THE WEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A DECREASE INFORWARD SPEED TONIGHT AND MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THECENTER OF BERYL WILL APPROACH THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREATODAY AND MAKE LANDFALL TONIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY. AFTERLANDFALL...BERYL IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND THEN TURN NORTHWARD OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA ANDSOUTHEAST GEORGIA ON MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHERGUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED BEFORE LANDFALL. AFTERLANDFALL...BERYL IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A DEPRESSION ON MONDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KMFROM THE CENTER. NOAA BUOY 41012 LOCATED ABOUT 50 MILES...80 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF ST. AUGUSTINE FLORIDA RECENTLY REPORTED A WINDGUST OF 45 MPH...72 KM/H. AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT RECENTLY REPORTED A MINIMUMCENTRAL PRESSURE OF 998 MB...29.47 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND----------------------WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH THECOAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA FROM NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA TO SOUTHERNSOUTH CAROLINA LATE THIS MORNING OR THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUETHROUGH TONIGHT. STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF A STORM SURGE AND THE TIDE WILLCAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE FLOODED BY RISINGWATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND IFTHE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE... COASTAL PORTIONS OF SOUTH CAROLINA...GEORGIA...AND NORTH FLORIDA...1 TO 3 FT THE DEEPEST WATER WILL OCCUR ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TOTHE NORTH OF THE LANDFALL LOCATION...WHERE THE SURGE WILL BEACCOMPANIED BY LARGE WAVES. SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THERELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARYGREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES. FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOURAREA...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHERSERVICE OFFICE. SURF...DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS...INCLUDING RIP CURRENTS...AREEXPECTED ALONG THE COAST FROM NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA TO NORTHCAROLINA OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND. PLEASE SEESTATEMENTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FORINFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA. RAINFALL...BERYL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF3 TO 6 INCHES ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED STATESFROM NORTHERN FLORIDA THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA. NEXT ADVISORY-------------NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM EDT. $$FORECASTER BROWN/CANGIALOSI
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