Incredibles 2 how high can it go?

[seascape]

Incredibles 2 has now broken 500 billion. It is the first animated move to reach that level. However it still had almost 66 million for the week. So the question is what will its drop off be and is it possible to get to 600 million? I put the chances about 40% but it is still possible.

 

[Ripken10]

Incredibles 2 has now broken 500 billion. It is the first animated move to reach that level. However it still had almost 66 million for the week. So the question is what will its drop off be and is it possible to get to 600 million? I put the chances about 40% but it is still possible.

I think you are probably on target. Box Office Pro still gives it a shot at catching Last Jedi, 620 million, and Avengers, 623.3 million...not sure I agree with that. Your numbers seems sound though. Over the last 7 days Incredibles 2 has outperformed Dory by 34% in the same point in time. July 4th throws that off some, As July 4th for Dory was just outside that 7 day window. Over the last 8 days Incredibles 2 has outperformed Dory by over 24% (both have July 4th in the 8 day window). For Dory, July 4th was on a Monday which I think is an advantage over Incredibles having July 4th on a Wendnesday. Dory also had less competition which I think will help Incredibles numbers in the long run (Incredibles had Jurassic World in its second weekend and had a much sharper drop, but Jurassic World has slowed much quicker and as a result Incredibles is now performing much better -- it beat Dory by 56 million week 1, by only 7 million in week 2 due to Jurassic World, but then back to 10 million in week 3, and already over 8.5 million more after 4 days in week 4). If it stayed in the 24-34% advantage window over Dory it would come out at between 582-588 million. I would expect it on that higher end (due to the reasons of Jurassic World) but it would need beat Dory by an average of 52.8% in order to eclipse 600 million. That's a hefty number. I will predict 590-595 million.