Hurricane Teddy Wind Speed Probabilities Number 22

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Original Poster
Issued at 2100 UTC THU SEP 17 2020


000
FONT15 KNHC 172056
PWSAT5

HURRICANE TEDDY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202020
2100 UTC THU SEP 17 2020

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE TEDDY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
20.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 54.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
120 KTS...140 MPH...220 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE

FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT

ILE ST PIERRE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)

BURGEO NFLD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)

PTX BASQUES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7)

EDDY POINT NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10)
EDDY POINT NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
EDDY POINT NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)

SYDNEY NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12)
SYDNEY NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
SYDNEY NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)

SABLE ISLAND 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 29(29)
SABLE ISLAND 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10)
SABLE ISLAND 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)

HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 19(19)
HALIFAX NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6)
HALIFAX NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)

YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12)
YARMOUTH NS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
YARMOUTH NS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)

MONCTON NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)

ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)

EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7)

BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)

NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)

BERMUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 34(34) 37(71) 3(74)
BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 30(40) 3(43)
BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 19(23) 3(26)

$$
FORECASTER LATTO

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