Issued at 0900 UTC WED SEP 16 2020
000
WTNT25 KNHC 160834
TCMAT5
HURRICANE TEDDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202020
0900 UTC WED SEP 16 2020
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 49.0W AT 16/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 976 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT.......140NE 80SE 40SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 270SE 240SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 49.0W AT 16/0900Z
AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 48.6W
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 16.8N 50.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...140NE 90SE 50SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 18.3N 51.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 110SE 70SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 19.7N 52.9W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 80SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 21.3N 54.6W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE 90SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 22.7N 56.1W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 100SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 24.2N 57.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...170NE 160SE 110SW 140NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 27.5N 62.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 31.0N 64.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N 49.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
Continue reading...
000
WTNT25 KNHC 160834
TCMAT5
HURRICANE TEDDY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202020
0900 UTC WED SEP 16 2020
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 49.0W AT 16/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 976 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT.......140NE 80SE 40SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 270SE 240SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 49.0W AT 16/0900Z
AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 48.6W
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 16.8N 50.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW.
34 KT...140NE 90SE 50SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 18.3N 51.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 110SE 70SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 19.7N 52.9W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 80SW 130NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 21.3N 54.6W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
50 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE 90SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 22.7N 56.1W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
50 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 100SW 140NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 24.2N 57.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...170NE 160SE 110SW 140NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 27.5N 62.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 31.0N 64.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N 49.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
Continue reading...