Issued at 200 PM EDT TUE OCT 25 2011 000WTNT33 KNHC 251757TCPAT3 BULLETINHURRICANE RINA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 9ANWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182011200 PM EDT TUE OCT 25 2011 ...RINA EXPECTED TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE SOON... SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION----------------------------------------------LOCATION...17.4N 84.2WABOUT 280 MI...450 KM ESE OF CHETUMAL MEXICOABOUT 290 MI...465 KM SE OF TULUM MEXICOMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/HPRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/HMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...971 MB...28.67 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS--------------------CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THECOAST OF BELIZE FROM BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...* THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA GRUESATO CANCUN A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...* THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL TO PUNTAGRUESAA TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...* THE COAST OF BELIZE FROM BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTEDSOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 36HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL STORMFORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULTOR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BERUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AREEXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AREPOSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITORPRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK------------------------------AT 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE RINA WAS LOCATEDNEAR LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.2 WEST. RINA IS MOVINGTOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/H. A GRADUAL TURNTOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ISEXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTEROF RINA WILL APPROACH THE COAST WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREAON WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/H...WITH HIGHERGUSTS. RINA IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSONSCALE. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...ANDRINA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE BY TONIGHT. AN AIRFORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY INVESTIGATINGRINA...AND WILL PROVIDE DATA ON THE INTENSITY OF THE HURRICANESHORTLY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROMTHE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115MILES...185 KM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 971 MB...28.67 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND----------------------WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST WITHINTHE HURRICANE WARNING AREA BY EARLY THURSDAY WITH TROPICAL STORMCONDITIONS EXPECTED BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...MAKING OUTSIDEPREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AREEXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST IN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA ONWEDNESDAY. RAINFALL...RINA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 16INCHES OVER THE EASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM WEDNESDAY MORNINGINTO THURSDAY. STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BYAS MUCH AS 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THEIMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF THE TRACK OF THE CENTER.NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE ANDDESTRUCTIVE WAVES. NEXT ADVISORY-------------NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT. $$FORECASTER BRENNAN
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