Issued at 1000 PM CDT WED OCT 26 2011 000WTNT33 KNHC 270241TCPAT3 BULLETINHURRICANE RINA ADVISORY NUMBER 16NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL1820111000 PM CDT WED OCT 26 2011 ...RINA HANGING IN THERE WITH 85 MPH WINDS...COULD BE A LITTLE BITSTRONGER... SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION-----------------------------------------------LOCATION...18.5N 86.5WABOUT 140 MI...225 KM S OF COZUMEL MEXICOABOUT 120 MI...190 KM E OF CHETUMAL MEXICOMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/HPRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/HMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB...28.91 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS--------------------CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...* THE NORTHEAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF PUNTAGRUESA TO SAN FELIPE A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...* THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL TO PUNTAGRUESA* THE NORTH COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WEST OF SAN FELIPE TOPROGRESO PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TOCOMPLETION IN THE WARNING AREA. INTERESTS IN WESTERN CUBA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF RINA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITORPRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK------------------------------AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RINA WAS LOCATEDNEAR LATITUDE 18.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.5 WEST. RINA IS MOVINGTOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H. A GRADUAL TURN TO THENORTH WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ONTHURSDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF RINA WILL BE MOVINGNEAR OR OVER THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA THURSDAY NIGHTAND FRIDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/H...WITH HIGHERGUSTS. RINA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSONHURRICANE WIND SCALE. NO IMPORTANT CHANGES IN INTENSITY AREEXPECTED ON THURSDAY...BUT A GRADUAL WEAKENING SHOULD BEGINTHEREAFTER. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROMTHE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80MILES...130 KM. LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM NOAA HURRICANEHUNTER PLANE DATA WAS 979 MB...28.91 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND----------------------WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE PROBABLY ALREADY OCCURRING INPORTIONS OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA. HURRICANE CONDITIONSARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA ONTHURSDAY. RAINFALL...RINA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 10INCHES OVER THE EASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA AND COZUMEL THROUGHFRIDAY WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS TO 14 INCHES. STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BYAS MUCH AS 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THEIMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF THE TRACK OF THE CENTER.NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE ANDDESTRUCTIVE WAVES. NEXT ADVISORY-------------NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 AM CDT.NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT. $$FORECASTER AVILA
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