Hurricane RINA Public Advisory Number 15

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Issued at 400 PM CDT WED OCT 26 2011 000WTNT33 KNHC 262046TCPAT3 BULLETINHURRICANE RINA ADVISORY NUMBER 15NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182011400 PM CDT WED OCT 26 2011 ...RINA NOW MOVING NORTHWESTWARD...LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH DURINGTHE PAST FEW HOURS... SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION----------------------------------------------LOCATION...18.2N 85.9WABOUT 170 MI...275 KM SSE OF COZUMEL MEXICOABOUT 160 MI...255 KM E OF CHETUMAL MEXICOMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/HPRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/HMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB...28.91 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS--------------------CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCHFOR THE BAY ISLANDS OF ROATAN AND GUANAJA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...* THE NORTHEAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF PUNTAGRUESA TO SAN FELIPE A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...* THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL TO PUNTAGRUESA* THE NORTH COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WEST OF SAN FELIPE TOPROGRESO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...* THE COAST OF BELIZE FROM BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TOCOMPLETION IN THE WARNING AREA. INTERESTS IN WESTERN CUBA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF RINA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITORPRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK------------------------------AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RINA WAS LOCATEDNEAR LATITUDE 18.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.9 WEST. RINA IS MOVINGTOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H. A GRADUAL TURN TOTHE NORTH WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTEDTONIGHT AND THURSDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF RINAWILL BE MOVING NEAR OR OVER THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULAON THURSDAY.REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATETHAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/H...WITHHIGHER GUSTS. RINA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THESAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH ISEXPECTED BEFORE THE CENTER OF RINA NEARS THE COAST OF THE YUCATANPENINSULA ON THURSDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROMTHE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105MILES...165 KM. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM THE HURRICANE HUNTERAIRCRAFT DATA IS 979 MB...28.91 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND----------------------WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST INTHE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA TONIGHT...MAKING OUTSIDEPREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. HURRICANE CONDITIONS AREEXPECTED TO BEGIN WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA ON THURSDAY. RAINFALL...RINA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 16INCHES OVER THE EASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA AND COZUMEL THROUGHFRIDAY. STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BYAS MUCH AS 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THEIMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF THE TRACK OF THE CENTER.NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE ANDDESTRUCTIVE WAVES. NEXT ADVISORY-------------NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 PM CDT.NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT. $$FORECASTER BEVEN

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