Issued at 1230 PM CDT WED OCT 26 2011 000WTNT33 KNHC 261734TCPAT3 BULLETINHURRICANE RINA SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 14NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL1820111230 PM CDT WED OCT 26 2011 ...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FINDS THAT RINA IS A CATEGORY 1HURRICANE... SUMMARY OF 1230 PM CDT...1730 UTC...INFORMATION-----------------------------------------------LOCATION...18.1N 85.8WABOUT 180 MI...290 KM SSE OF COZUMEL MEXICOABOUT 165 MI...270 KM E OF CHETUMAL MEXICOMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/HPRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/HMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB...29.00 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS--------------------CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...* THE NORTHEAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF PUNTAGRUESA TO SAN FELIPE A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...* THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL TO PUNTAGRUESA* THE NORTH COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WEST OF SAN FELIPE TOPROGRESO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...* THE COAST OF BELIZE FROM BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD* THE HONDURAN BAY ISLANDS OF ROATAN AND GUANAJA PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TOCOMPLETION IN THE WARNING AREA. INTERESTS IN WESTERN CUBA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF RINA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITORPRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK------------------------------AT 1230 PM CDT...1730 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RINA WAS LOCATEDNEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.8 WEST. RINA IS MOVINGTOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H. A GRADUAL TURN TOTHE NORTHWEST WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTEDTHIS AFTERNOON...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH ON THURSDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF RINA WILL BE MOVING NEAR OROVER THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA ON THURSDAY. REPORTS FROM A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUMSUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/H...WITHHIGHER GUSTS. RINA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THESAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING ISFORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HOWEVER...RINA IS EXPECTED TOBE AT HURRICANE STRENGTH WHEN THE CENTER PASSES NEAR OR OVER THEYUCATAN PENINSULA. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROMTHE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115MILES...185 KM. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE NOAA AIRCRAFT IS982 MB...29.00 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND----------------------WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST INTHE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA THIS AFTERNOON...MAKING OUTSIDEPREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. HURRICANE CONDITIONS AREEXPECTED TO BEGIN WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA BY EARLYTHURSDAY. RAINFALL...RINA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 16INCHES OVER THE EASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA AND COZUMEL THROUGHFRIDAY. STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BYAS MUCH AS 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THEIMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF THE TRACK OF THE CENTER.NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE ANDDESTRUCTIVE WAVES. NEXT ADVISORY-------------NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT. $$FORECASTER BEVEN
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