Hurricane Paulette Forecast Advisory Number 28

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Issued at 2100 UTC SUN SEP 13 2020


000
WTNT22 KNHC 132038
TCMAT2

HURRICANE PAULETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172020
2100 UTC SUN SEP 13 2020

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT
12 TO 24 HOURS. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH BERMUDA
THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.6N 63.1W AT 13/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 313 DEGREES AT 12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 974 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 80NE 50SE 40SW 80NW.
34 KT.......150NE 100SE 80SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 180SE 240SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.6N 63.1W AT 13/2100Z
AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.2N 62.6W

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 31.8N 64.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.
50 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 80NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 90SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 33.9N 64.8W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 80NW.
34 KT...160NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 36.1N 62.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 35SW 35NW.
50 KT... 80NE 80SE 60SW 80NW.
34 KT...160NE 170SE 130SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 38.1N 57.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 80SW 80NW.
34 KT...160NE 170SE 140SW 170NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 40.3N 52.6W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 90SW 80NW.
34 KT...190NE 200SE 170SW 190NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 42.4N 47.4W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 80SW 80NW.
34 KT...210NE 220SE 180SW 190NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 45.5N 38.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 44.4N 34.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.6N 63.1W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 14/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER LATTO

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