Issued at 200 AM AST MON OCT 03 2011 000WTNT31 KNHC 030555TCPAT1 BULLETINHURRICANE OPHELIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 42ANWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162011200 AM AST MON OCT 03 2011 ...OPHELIA EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE AVALON PENINSULA OFNEWFOUNDLAND THIS MORNING... SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION----------------------------------------------LOCATION...45.5N 56.5WABOUT 185 MI...295 KM WSW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLANDMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/HPRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 43 MPH...69 KM/HMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS--------------------CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...* THE AVALON PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITEDSTATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASEMONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICEFORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDETHE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONALMETEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK------------------------------AT 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WASLOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 45.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.5 WEST. OPHELIA ISMOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 43 MPH...69 KM/H. A TURNTOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ISEXPECTED LATER THIS MORNING. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OFOPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO PASS OVER THE AVALON PENINSULA OFNEWFOUNDLAND THIS MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THESAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. STEADY WEAKENING IS EXPECTEDTO CONTINUE THROUGH TODAY. HOWEVER...OPHELIA SHOULD BE A STRONGTROPICAL STORM WHEN IT PASSES OVER THE AVALON PENINSULA. OPHELIA ISFORECAST TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LATER TODAY. HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...MAINLYTO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDSEXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370 KM...MAINLY EAST THROUGH SOUTHOF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND----------------------WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE AVALONPENINSULA THIS MORNING. RAINFALL...OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONSOF 2 TO 3 INCHES OVER SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND. SURF...LARGE WAVES AND SWELLS GENERATED BY OPHELIA WILL AFFECTPORTIONS OF THE SOUTH COAST OF NEWFOUNDLAND TODAY...CAUSINGLIFE-THREATENING SURF CONDITIONS. NEXT ADVISORY-------------NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST. $$FORECASTER STEWART/CANGIALOSI
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