Issued at 800 PM AST SUN OCT 02 2011 000WTNT31 KNHC 022343TCPAT1 BULLETINHURRICANE OPHELIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 41ANWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162011800 PM AST SUN OCT 02 2011 ...OPHELIA WEAKENING AS IT MOVES QUICKLY NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD... SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION----------------------------------------------LOCATION...42.4N 59.8WABOUT 445 MI...715 KM SW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLANDMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/HPRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 33 MPH...54 KM/HMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...967 MB...28.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS--------------------CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...* THE AVALON PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITORPRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK------------------------------AT 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WASLOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 42.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 59.8 WEST. OPHELIA ISMOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 33 MPH...54 KM/H. A TURNTOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A TURNTOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST ON MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THECENTER OF OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR OR OVER THE AVALONPENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY.MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THESAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. STEADY WEAKENING IS EXPECTEDTO CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY. HOWEVER...OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO BENEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH WHEN IT PASSES CLOSE TO THE AVALONPENINSULA. OPHELIA IS FORECAST TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONESHORTLY AFTER PASSING SOUTHERN NEWFOUNDLAND. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROMTHE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO260 MILES...415 KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. ENVIRONMENTCANADA BUOY 44141...LOCATED ABOUT 100 MILES...160 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER OF OPHELIA...RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINEDWIND OF 40 MPH...65 KM/H...AND A WIND GUST OF 54 MPH...86 KM/H.SABLE ISLAND RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 39 MPH...63 KM/H. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 967 MB...28.56 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND----------------------WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE AVALONPENINSULA LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY. RAINFALL...OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONSOF 2 TO 3 INCHES OVER SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND. NEXT ADVISORY-------------NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST. $$FORECASTER BRENNAN
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