Hurricane OPHELIA Public Advisory Number 38

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Issued at 1100 PM AST SAT OCT 01 2011 000WTNT31 KNHC 020252TCPAT1 BULLETINHURRICANE OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER 38NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL1620111100 PM AST SAT OCT 01 2011 ...OPHELIA MOVING QUICKLY NORTHWARD WITH 140 MPH WINDS... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION-----------------------------------------------LOCATION...33.8N 62.2WABOUT 185 MI...295 KM NE OF BERMUDAABOUT 1010 MI...1625 KM SSW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLANDMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH...220 KM/HPRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 26 MPH...43 KM/HMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...940 MB...27.76 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS--------------------CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...* THE AVALON PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITORPRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK------------------------------AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS LOCATEDNEAR LATITUDE 33.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.2 WEST. OPHELIA IS MOVINGTOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 26 MPH...43 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED SHOULD BEGIN ON SUNDAY.THE CENTER OF OPHELIA IS FORECAST TO BE NEAR THE AVALON PENINSULAOF NEWFOUNDLAND ON MONDAY. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVEINCREASED TO NEAR 140 MPH...220 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. OPHELIAIS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WINDSCALE. A GRADUAL WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN BY EARLY SUNDAY...WITH ARAPID WEAKENING EXPECTED FROM LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROMTHE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175MILES...280 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 940 MB...27.76 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND----------------------WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE AVALONPENINSULA BY EARLY MONDAY. SURF...LARGE SWELLS CREATED BY OPHELIA WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS SURFCONDITIONS ON BERMUDA. NEXT ADVISORY-------------NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM AST.NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST. $$FORECASTER BLAKE/BRENNAN

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