Issued at 1100 AM AST SAT OCT 01 2011 000WTNT31 KNHC 011443TCPAT1 BULLETINHURRICANE OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER 36NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL1620111100 AM AST SAT OCT 01 2011 ...CORE OF INTENSE HURRICANE OPHELIA EXPECTED TO PASS EAST OFBERMUDA LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION-----------------------------------------------LOCATION...29.5N 62.9WABOUT 225 MI...360 KM SSE OF BERMUDAMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/HPRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/HMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB...28.11 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS--------------------CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...* BERMUDA FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO BERMUDA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTSISSUED BY THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE. TROPICAL STORM WATCHES OR WARNINGS COULD BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTIONOF THE AVALON PENINSULA IN NEWFOUNDLAND LATER TODAY. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK------------------------------AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WASLOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.9 WEST. OPHELIA HASINCREASED ITS FORWARD SPEED AND IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR21 MPH...33 KM/H. ON THIS TRACK THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILL PASSEAST OF BERMUDA LATER TODAY. A TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST SHOULDBEGIN ON SUNDAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. OPHELIA ISFORECAST TO BE NEAR AND TO THE SOUTH OF THE AVALON PENINSULA INNEWFOUNDLAND ON MONDAY.MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/H...WITH HIGHERGUSTS. OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSONHURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELYTODAY...BUT A GRADUAL WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN ON SUNDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES...65 KM...FROMTHE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205MILES...335 KM MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 952 MB...28.11 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND----------------------WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA BY THISAFTERNOON. SURF...LARGE SWELLS CREATED BY OPHELIA WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS SURFCONDITIONS ALONG THE SOUTH-FACING BEACHES OF BERMUDA. RAINFALL...RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 1 INCH CAN BE EXPECTEDON BERMUDA IN ASSOCIATION WITH OPHELIA. NEXT ADVISORY-------------NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM AST.NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST. $$FORECASTER AVILA
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