Issued at 1100 AM AST FRI SEP 30 2011 000WTNT31 KNHC 301431TCPAT1 BULLETINHURRICANE OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER 32NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL1620111100 AM AST FRI SEP 30 2011 ...OPHELIA WITH 115 MPH WINDS...BECOMES THE THIRD MAJOR HURRICANE OFTHE 2011 SEASON... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION-----------------------------------------------LOCATION...23.5N 62.8WABOUT 620 MI...1000 KM SSE OF BERMUDAMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/HPRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB...28.35 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS--------------------CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...* BERMUDA FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO BERMUDA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTSISSUED BY THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK------------------------------AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WASLOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.8 WEST. OPHELIA ISMOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H. A TURN TOTHE NORTH WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY.ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CORE OF OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO PASSEAST OF BERMUDA ON SATURDAY. SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVEINCREASED TO NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. OPHELIAIS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WINDSCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY DURING THE NEXT12 TO 24 HOURS FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL WEAKENING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROMTHE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175MILES...280 KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 960 MB...28.35 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND----------------------WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ON BERMUDA STARTINGSATURDAY AFTERNOON. SURF...LARGE SWELLS CREATED BY OPHELIA WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS SURFCONDITIONS ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE BEACHES OF BERMUDA. RAINFALL...RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 1 INCH CAN BE EXPECTEDON BERMUDA IN ASSOCIATION WITH OPHELIA. NEXT ADVISORY-------------NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM AST.NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST. $$FORECASTER AVILA
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