Hurricane MARIA Public Advisory Number 40

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Issued at 1100 AM AST FRI SEP 16 2011 000WTNT34 KNHC 161431TCPAT4 BULLETINHURRICANE MARIA ADVISORY NUMBER 40NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL1420111100 AM AST FRI SEP 16 2011 ...HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS OVERSOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION-----------------------------------------------LOCATION...44.6N 56.3WABOUT 210 MI...340 KM SW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLANDMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/HPRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 52 MPH...83 KM/HMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS--------------------CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...* NEWFOUNDLAND FROM ARNOLDS COVE TO BRIGUS SOUTH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...* NEWFOUNDLAND FROM STONES COVE TO ARNOLDS COVE AND FROM BRIGUSSOUTH TO CHARLOTTETOWN A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTEDSOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 6TO 12 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BECOMPLETED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AREEXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 6 TO12 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITORPRODUCTS ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK------------------------------AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MARIA WASLOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 44.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.3 WEST. MARIA ISMOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 52 MPH...83 KM/H. THIS GENERALMOTION WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY. ON THEFORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF MARIA SHOULD PASS NEAR OR OVEREXTREME SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND THIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. MARIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THESAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. MARIA SHOULD WEAKEN AFTERCROSSING NEWFOUNDLAND AND LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS BY TONIGHT. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTENDOUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES...445 KM...MOSTLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. CANADIAN BUOY 44141 RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 47 MPH...76 KM/H...WITH A PEAK GUST OF 67 MPH...108 KM/H. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON DATA FROM THECANADIAN BUOY NETWORK IS 983 MB...29.03 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND----------------------WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSSSOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND THROUGH TONIGHT. HURRICANE CONDITIONS AREEXPECTED IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA BY MIDDAY. RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSSSOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND IN ASSOCIATION WITH MARIA. STORM SURGE...COASTAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OFWHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILLBE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. NEXT ADVISORY-------------NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM AST.NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST. $$FORECASTER BLAKE/BEVEN

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