Issued at 500 AM AST FRI SEP 16 2011 000WTNT34 KNHC 160843TCPAT4 BULLETINHURRICANE MARIA ADVISORY NUMBER 39NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142011500 AM AST FRI SEP 16 2011 ...MARIA RACING NORTHEASTWARD...CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO DETERIORATEOVER SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND DURING THE MORNING HOURS... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION----------------------------------------------LOCATION...41.7N 60.3WABOUT 495 MI...800 KM SW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLANDMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/HPRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 45 MPH...72 KM/HMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB...28.91 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS--------------------CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...* NEWFOUNDLAND FROM ARNOLDS COVE TO BRIGUS SOUTH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...* NEWFOUNDLAND FROM STONES COVE TO ARNOLDS COVE AND FROM BRIGUSSOUTH TO CHARLOTTETOWN A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTEDSOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12HOURS OR SO. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BERUSHED TO COMPLETION. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AREEXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12TO 24 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITORPRODUCTS ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK------------------------------AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MARIA WAS LOCATEDNEAR LATITUDE 41.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.3 WEST. MARIA IS MOVINGTOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 45 MPH...72 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTIONWITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THEDAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AND ADDITIONALACCELERATION BY TONIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OFMARIA SHOULD PASS NEAR OR OVER EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLANDTHIS AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHERGUSTS. MARIA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSONHURRICANE WIND SCALE. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED BEFOREMARIA MOVES OVER SOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND LATER TODAY. SOMEWEAKENING IS ANTICIPATED BY TONIGHT...AND MARIA COULD BE ABSORBEDWITHIN A FRONTAL ZONE BY SATURDAY. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROMTHE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205MILES...335 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 979 MB...28.91 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND----------------------WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN ACROSSSOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND WITHIN THE WARNING AREA LATER THISMORNING. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE HURRICANEWARNING AREA BY MIDDAY. RAINFALL...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSSSOUTHEASTERN NEWFOUNDLAND IN ASSOCIATION WITH MARIA. STORM SURGE...COASTAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OFWHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILLBE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. NEXT ADVISORY-------------NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM AST.NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST. $$FORECASTER BERG/AVILA
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