Disney says studio to lose up to $300 mln in Q4

speck76

Well-Known Member
Original Poster
Disney says studio to lose up to $300 mln in Q4
Wed Sep 14, 2005 08:58 PM ET


By Gina Keating

LOS ANGELES, Sept 14 (Reuters) - Walt Disney Co. (DIS.N: Quote, Profile, Research) on Wednesday said its movie studio division would post a loss of up to $300 million in its fourth quarter, hurt by weak box office ticket sales and higher marketing expenses from a larger slate of Miramax releases.

Disney Chief Financial Officer Tom Staggs also told investors at a Merrill Lynch conference in Pasadena, California that the company could have to write off $100 million in Delta Airlines (DAL.N: Quote, Profile, Research) aircraft leases as the carrier filed for bankruptcy.

Staggs said a charge from the Delta investment "would obviously have a meaningful impact on our results for the quarter and the year."

But he said that Disney was on track to meet its forecast of double-digit overall growth in earnings, excluding the Delta charge, based on the performance of its theme parks and cable networks, including ESPN. Staggs did not say whether he was talking about the fourth quarter, the year or both, but Wall Street analysts had been forecasting that Disney would post nearly 20-percent gain in full-year earnings per share. That was in line with the company's long-held outlook.

Disney is seeing stronger-than-expected bookings at its domestic theme parks and robust year-over-year growth in ad sales at its cable networks and ABC broadcast network, Staggs said.

Sanders Morris Harris analyst David Miller said many analysts had already expected Disney's studio division to lose money because of the costs associated with releasing a larger slate of films by Miramax, the studio acquired from founders Harvey and Bob Weinstein.

Disney reached a deal to sever ties with the Weinstein brothers that saw the studio unit release seven more Miramax films in the fourth quarter than it had a year ago in order to clear an inventory of titles produced during their tenure.

"The loss is going to be higher than what was anticipated by most analysts, but Staggs did reiterate targets of double-digit growth so that probably means the other divisions will be stronger than expected," Miller said.

He added that a write-down on the Delta leases would probably represent a charge equivalent to 6 cents per share.

Studio revenues were hurt not only by a poor box office showing for the Miramax releases, but by flat domestic home video sales and softer pricing overseas for home video releases, Staggs said.

The widening losses for the studio division will prompt Disney "to manage even more closely our production and marketing budgets," Staggs said.

"We have to adapt our marketing and release strategies to most effectively match consumer demand," he said.

Last month, incoming Disney Chief Executive Bob Iger said the company could consider cutting marketing costs by shrinking the time between theatrical and DVD releases of its movies.

Wall Street analysts on average had expected Disney to post net earnings of 26 cents per share for the current, fiscal fourth quarter and $1.34 per share for the fiscal year, according to Reuters Estimates.

Disney posted 2004 fourth-quarter earnings of 25 cents per share and fiscal-year earnings of $1.12 per share. The company posted 2004 fiscal year revenue of $30.7 billion, of which its studio division contributed $8.7 billion.

Staggs said that Disney, which made its investment in the Delta leases in the early 1990s, would face a write-off if the airline "is unable to resolve its financial difficulties."

Delta filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy on Wednesday afternoon, saying the step was needed to cut costs.

Disney shares were down 3 cents, or 1 percent, at $24.08 in after-hours trade on Inet, from a Wednesday close of $24.11 on the New York Stock Exchange.


© Reuters 2005. All Rights Reserved.
 

Woody13

New Member
Loss Seen at Disney Film Unit

By Kim Christensen and Claudia Eller, Times Staff Writers



Walt Disney Co.'s film unit will post a loss of up to $300 million for the current quarter, Chief Financial Officer Thomas Staggs warned Wednesday, describing the studio's performance as "considerably worse than we anticipated."

Staggs said the loss was driven in part by such industrywide problems as a lethargic box office and a cooling off of the once-sizzling DVD market.

"But in fairness, the difficult results at the studio have more to do with the performance of our titles than the marketplace as a whole," Staggs told investors at a Merrill Lynch media investment conference in Pasadena.

Staggs also said Disney could be forced to write off a $100-million investment in aircraft leases because of financial problems of Delta Air Lines Inc., which filed for bankruptcy protection Wednesday. That would "obviously have a meaningful impact" on Disney's results, Staggs said.

Disney was among several big companies that invested in airline leases in the 1990s only to take hits when the industry slumped in the wake of the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks and rising jet fuel prices. In 2003, Disney took an $83-million after-tax write-off of United Airlines leases.

The red ink forecast Wednesday was worse than Wall Street expected. In a research brief, Banc of America Securities analyst Douglas Shapiro called the number "significantly larger" than his estimate of $8 million and consensus estimates of $10 million.

As a result, Shapiro said, Banc of America would slash its earnings per share estimate for the fiscal fourth quarter ending Sept. 30 to 19 cents from 27 cents.

Staggs' comments came after the stock market ended its regular session, during which Disney's stock fell 70 cents to $24.11, its lowest close since October.

Despite predicting a loss for the studio of $250 million to $300 million, Staggs said Disney remained "confident in delivering double-digit growth in earnings for the company overall," based on the strength of its ESPN and ABC networks, as well as its theme parks business.

Staggs' warning about the film studio's performance singled out three features from Disney's Miramax unit — "The Great Raid," "The Brothers Grimm" and "Underclassman" — that were among the final movies overseen by Miramax founders Harvey and Bob Weinstein for Disney. The brothers are formally cutting their ties to the Burbank entertainment giant at the end of this month to form their own company, capping 12 often-contentious years under Disney's umbrella.

As part of their divorce settlement, Disney agreed to rush more than a half-dozen remaining Miramax films into theaters by Sept. 30. Last month, as Disney's studio posted a $34-million loss for its fiscal third quarter, Staggs warned that marketing and distributing so many Miramax films could hurt earnings.

Putting a spotlight on the failure of the Miramax films comes at a particularly sensitive time for the Weinsteins, who are relying on their lengthy track record to raise as much as $1 billion to fund their new movie company.

"This is a short-term cost of transition," the Weinsteins said in a statement. The brothers added that the library of successful films they made for Disney, including "Shakespeare in Love" and "Pulp Fiction," would continue to reap benefits for the company's shareholders.

Two of the films mentioned Wednesday by Staggs, "Great Raid" and "Brothers Grimm," were costly productions with sizable marketing budgets. Both sat on Miramax shelves for years after being filmed — often a red flag as to a movie's commercial prospects.

Staggs also listed as an underachiever Disney's own "Dark Water" from its Touchstone film unit, and added that sales of its direct-to-video movies were weak. Other Disney releases underperforming in the quarter included "Sky High" and the animated release "Valiant," which the studio did not produce but did market and distribute.

Both Miramax and Disney have been struggling at the box office. Although the losses were greater than expected, some analysts said they also reflected the normal ups and downs of the movie business.

"They have had some quarters in the recent past where all the stars were aligned for them," Anthony Valencia of TCW Group said of Disney's fortunes. "Now they have a quarter where none of the stars are aligned. It's the nature of the film business."

Harold Vogel, an independent analyst with Vogel Capital Management, said the Miramax films' poor performance was somewhat predictable, coming as they did at the end of the Weinsteins' run with Disney.

"Going forward, it does not cast a long shadow into the future," Vogel said. "It's finished. It's ancient history."
 

DisneyFan 2000

Well-Known Member
Woody13 said:
and added that sales of its direct-to-video movies were weak.

What a surprise hu? Crowds getting sick of cheap efforts me thinks. Disney needs a wake-up call. Casual movie-goers won't be so patient as we are with the company.
 

Woody13

New Member
Disney Studios Need Some Magic</HEADLINE>

By <AUTHOR>Steven Mallas</AUTHOR>
<DATE>September 16, 2005</DATE>

<!--startindex--><BODYTEXT>Apparently, Disney (NYSE: DIS) studios' summertime blues will continue into the fall.

Chief Financial Officer Thomas Staggs said this week he expects the studio segment to lose upwards of $300 million in the fourth quarter. Ouch. Although Staggs blamed the red ink on Disney's recent box-office portfolio, the situation is a bit more complex. Miramax bigwigs Bob and Harvey Weinstein decided to part ways with Disney, and a bunch of their films were released quickly to bring closure to that relationship. So marketing expenses may have been stretched thin and not brought in the sales the company was expecting.

Make no mistake, however: The demand for Disney movies has been weak. A look back at earnings for the third quarter ended July 2 shows a loss of $34 million for the studio business; for the nine-month reporting period, operating income for the studio dropped 14% to $552 million. There were disappointing results for flicks like Herbie: Fully Loaded, Dark Water, and The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy. And let's not forget the not-so-valiant Valiant and the grim Brothers Grimm features. The studio division is an important driver of value, so Disney must find a way to produce better movies.

Yet there was one other thing that Staggs mentioned that made me pause: problems with the DVD model. Sales of direct-to-video projects were below projections. With Pixar (Nasdaq: PIXR) and DreamWorks Animation (NYSE: DWA) oversupplying the marketplace with DVDs, investors should be concerned about softness in monetizing Disney's treasured video brands.

Thankfully, however, Disney has other divisions -- theme parks, cruise lines, merchandise, and cable channels -- that can help ameliorate problems in one area. Diversified revenue streams are one reason for owning a conglomerate. Sure, Viacom (NYSE: VIA) may have given up on synergy. But for now, it's helping Disney as Staggs still believes that earnings growth will remain robust this fiscal year given the good performances expected in businesses like ESPN and ABC.

To try to turn the studio ship around and increase box-office revenues, Disney is looking to Chicken Little and The Chronicles of Narnia. And keep in mind that Staggs mentioned that next summer it will offer Pixar's and Disney's Cars cartoon, as well as the next Pirates of the Caribbean entry.

Disney really is a frustrating stock at times; sometimes the product is steaming, and sometimes it's cooling. Nevertheless, Disney did manage to turn ABC around. So if Bob Iger can rally the creative types over at the studio to give customers what they want, then perhaps customers will give shareholders what they want -- better profits at the studio division. For now, however, patient shareholders must accept any selling pressure on the stock caused by the loss that the studio division will incur.

For more Takes on the Mouse House:

 

darthdarrel

New Member
I may be overly simplifying things here But I still say that Disney needs to get back to their old tried and true formula The Disney animated Musicals Like BEauty and the Beast! and stop these cheap direct to video flops.
 

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